Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
AVNN | 47 | 76 | 115 | 138 | 243 | 383 | 615 | 1041 | 1559 | 1386
| AVNO | 54 | 106 | 103 | 95 | 164 | 173 | 247 | 481 | 676 | 522
| %IMP | -15% | -39% | 10% | 31% | 33% | 55% | 60% | 54% | 57% | 62%
| GFNO | 42 | 85 | 137 | 220 | 355 | 594 | 1044 | 1767 | 2512 | 2772
| GFDL | 57 | 99 | 132 | 170 | 306 | 497 | 871 | 1448 | 2052 | 2083
| %IMP | -36% | -16% | 4% | 23% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 25%
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | -67 | -58 | -41 | -37 | -42 | -51 | -40 | -38 | -19 | -3
| AVNO | -42 | -50 | -31 | -34 | -33 | -45 | -47 | -39 | -20 | 1
| %IMP | 37% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 21% | 12% | -18% | -3% | -5% | 67%
| GFNO | -23 | -27 | -19 | -29 | -37 | -55 | -46 | -37 | 0 | 12
| GFDL | -17 | -27 | -17 | -21 | -33 | -47 | -41 | -17 | -11 | 11
| %IMP | 26% | 0% | 11% | 28% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 54% | und% | 8%
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21/2145 UTC 20.6N 86.8W on Cozumel, Mexico, 15.75 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
AVNN | 20.25 | 87.41 | 21.5 | 74.5 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.57 | 86.76 | 9.5 | 5.3 | Punta Molas del Norte, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -19% | 93%
| GFNO | 20.26 | 87.00 | 10.5 | 43.1 | Celerain, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.37 | 86.88 | 8.0 | 26.9 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -48% | 38%
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22/0330 UTC 20.8N 86.9W near Puerto Morelos, Mexico 21.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 20.25 | 87.41 | 21.5 | 80.9 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.70 | 87.00 | 12.0 | 15.2 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | und% | 81%
| GFNO | 20.36 | 87.34 | 16.0 | 67.0 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.51 | 87.24 | 12.5 | 47.8 | Playa del Carmen , Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -64% | 29%
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24/1030 UTC 25.9N 81.7W near Cape Romano, FL 76.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 25.67 | 81.17 | 91.5 | 58.9 | Chokoloskee, FL
| AVNO | 26.68 | 81.82 | 82.0 | 87.5 | Cape Coral, FL
| %IMP | 63% | 49%
| GFNO | 25.89 | 81.67 | 113.0 | 12.0 | Marco Island, FL
| GFDL | 25.92 | 81.72 | 101.5 | 3.0 | Marco Island, FL
| %IMP | 33% | 75%
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