Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
AVNN | 11 | 69 | 86 | 70 | 22 | 73 | 178 | 245 | 373 | 631
| AVNO | 69 | 74 | 107 | 62 | 0 | 76 | 166 | 187 | 275 | 475
| %IMP | -527% | -7% | -24% | 11% | 100% | 4% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 25%
| GFNO | 23 | 72 | 72 | 55 | 39 | 98 | 141 | 180 | 214 | 264
| GFDL | 15 | 52 | 40 | 15 | 78 | 129 | 182 | 231 | 252 | 277
| %IMP | 35% | 28% | 44% | 73% | -100% | -32% | -29% | -28% | -18% | -4%
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | -76 | -68 | -68 | -57 | -52 | -29 | -21 | -24 | -42 | -40
| AVNO | -59 | -50 | -63 | -59 | -55 | -26 | -19 | -24 | -37 | -41
| %IMP | 22% | 26% | 7% | -4% | -6% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 12% | -3%
| GFNO | -18 | -6 | -26 | -35 | -39 | -23 | -21 | -10 | -27 | -14
| GFDL | -20 | -16 | -37 | -35 | -39 | -16 | -14 | -4 | -24 | -21
| %IMP | -11% | -167% | -42% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 60% | 11% | -50%
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21/2145 UTC 20.6N 86.8W on Cozumel, Mexico, 51.75 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
AVNN | 20.38 | 86.88 | 41.0 | 25.8 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.52 | 87.21 | 53.0 | 43.6 | Palmul, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 88% | -69%
| GFNO | 20.45 | 86.84 | 36.5 | 17.2 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.44 | 86.84 | 39.5 | 18.3 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 20% | -6%
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22/0330 UTC 20.8N 86.9W near Puerto Morelos, Mexico 57.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 20.82 | 86.89 | 46.5 | 2.5 | Puerto Morelos, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.52 | 87.21 | 53.0 | 44.8 | Palmul, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 51% | -1692%
| GFNO | 20.45 | 86.84 | 36.5 | 39.8 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.79 | 86.94 | 43.5 | 4.3 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 33% | 89%
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24/1030 UTC 25.9N 81.7W near Cape Romano, FL 112.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 25.83 | 81.34 | 104.0 | 35.8 | Marco Island, FL
| AVNO | 25.62 | 81.31 | 106.0 | 49.9 | Chokoloskee, FL
| %IMP | 24% | -39%
| GFNO | 25.74 | 81.19 | 106.5 | 54.0 | Chokoloskee, FL
| GFDL | 25.42 | 81.09 | 101.5 | 81.1 | Near Flamingo, FL
| %IMP | -83% | -50%
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