Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
Tropical Depression Fourteen.

Quicktime movie of DLM wind analyses
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data initial increments

Assessments for each forecast time at

October 14, 2002				18 Z
October 15, 2002	00 Z	06 Z	12 Z

Figure 1a. Track forecast errors for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models for the Tropical Depression Fourteen synoptic surveillance mission.

Figure 1b. Track forecast improvements for the GFS and GFDL models for the the Tropical Depression Fourteen synoptic surveillance mission.

Figure 2. Forecast errors for the landfall of Tropical Depression Fourteen near Cienfuegos, Cuba, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models.