Fig. 5 Perturbation size at the nominal sampling time 25 October 1998 0000 UTC, from the previous day MRF ensemble forecast. The large hurricane symbol is the location of Hurricane Mitch at the nominal time. The small hurricane symbols are the locations of Mitch every 12 h before and after the nominal time. The black dots represent the locations of targeted dropwindsonde observations; open circles represent the remaining observations.


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