Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model forecast Quicktime movie of DLM wind data increment
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MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 53. | 107. | 150. | 137. | 74. | 95. | 193. | 305. | 465. | 595.
| AVAL | 34. | 96. | 101. | 54. | 61. | 54. | 15. | 133. | 222. | 206.
| %IMP | 36% | 10% | 33% | 61% | 18% | 43% | 92% | 56% | 52% | 65%
|
| GFNO | 79. | 129. | 243. | 295. | 281. | 343. | 418. | 421. | 345. | 408.
| GFAL | 108. | 188. | 278. | 283. | 222. | 308. | 369. | 482. | 612. | 655.
| %IMP | -38% | -46% | -14% | 4% | 21% | 10% | 12% | -14% | -77% | -61%
|
| VBNO | 39. | 200. | 363. | 475. | 524. | 539. | 524. | 469. | 455. | 454.
| VBAL | 39. | 185. | 344. | 449. | 503. | 522. | 531. | 504. | 516. | 518.
| %IMP | 0% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | -1% | -7% | -13% | -14%
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -27. | -33. | -46. | -67. | -90. | -90. | -94. | -76. | -48. | -39.
| AVAL | -26. | -31. | -45. | -65. | -87. | -87. | -88. | -71. | -47. | -31.
| %IMP | 4% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 21%
|
| GFNO | -17. | -14. | 3. | -10. | -16. | -26. | -32. | -24. | 12. | 20.
| GFAL | -13. | -18. | -27. | -50. | -53. | -28. | -20. | -2. | 11. | 21.
| %IMP | 24% | -29% | -800% | -300% | -231% | -8% | 37% | 92% | 8% | -5%
|
| SHNO | -9. | -7. | -12. | -23. | -40. | -38. | -44. | -32. | -11. | -6.
| SHAL | -9. | -8. | -13. | -24. | -41. | -40. | -45. | -33. | -11. | -5.
| %IMP | 0% | -14% | -8% | -4% | -3% | 5% | -2% | -3% | 0% | 17%
|
| DSNO | -9. | -7. | -12. | -23. | -40. | -50. | -75. | -63. | -42. | -37.
| DSAL | -9. | -8. | -13. | -24. | -41. | -51. | -76. | -63. | -41. | -36.
| %IMP | 0% | -14% | -8% | -4% | -3% | -2% | -1% | 0% | 2% | 3%
| |
04/1800UTC 21.5N 81.8W Cayo Largo, Cuba 90 h into forecast
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 20.60 | 80.18 | 104.5 | 195.5 | Closest approach to Cayo Largo, Cuba
| AVAL | 21.05 | 81.36 | 93.0 | 67.6 | Closest approach to Cayo Largo, Cuba
| %IMP | 79% | 65%
|
| GFNO | 20.33 | 86.91 | 71.0 | 546.0 | Isla Cozumel, Quintana Roo, Mexico
| GFAL | 21.63 | 83.75 | 106.0 | 202.0 | Cayos de San Felipe, Cuba
| %IMP | 16% | 63%
|
| VBNO | 21.50 | 86.73 | 45.0 | 509.6 | Cabo Catoche, Quintana Roo, Mexico
| VBAL | 21.05 | 86.80 | 44.5 | 520.1 | Puerto Juarez, Quintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -1% | -2%
|
| 04/2300UTC 22.1N 81.2W at Bahia de Cochinos, Cuba 95 h into forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.55 | 78.74 | 116.5 | 261.0 | Near Jucaro, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| AVAL | 21.63 | 79.50 | 102.0 | 182.9 | Tunas de Zaza, Sancti Spiritus, Cuba
| %IMP | 39% | 30%
|
| GFNO | 22.35 | 85.31 | 94.0 | 423.6 | Approach to Cabo de S. Antonio, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFAL | 22.69 | 82.37 | 113.0 | 136.9 | Surgidero de Batabano, La Habana, Cuba
| %IMP | -1700% | 68%
|
| VBNO | 24.16 | 83.37 | 104.5 | 318.6 | Approach to Bahia Honda, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| VBAL | 24.29 | 83.58 | 106.0 | 343.9 | Approach to Bahia Honda, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -16% | -8%
|
| 05/1200UTC 24.3N 78.0W at Andros Island, Bahamas 108 h into forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
|
| AVNN | 22.00 | 78.00 | 120.0 | 255.5 | Gordon's, Long Island, Bahamas
| AVAL | 23.42 | 75.74 | 115.0 | 249.6 | Rolletown, Great Exuma, Bahamas
| %IMP | 28% | 2%
|
| GFNO | 24.60 | 81.40 | 108.0 | 345.5 | Big Pine Key, FL
| GFAL | 24.20 | 80.60 | 120.0 | 263.6 |
| %IMP | -200% | 24%
|
| VBNO | 24.44 | 81.68 | 111.0 | 372.7 | Key West, FL
| VBAL | 24.74 | 81.46 | 114.0 | 353.1 | Summerland Key, FL
| %IMP | -33% | 5%
|
| 05/1800UTC 25.4N 76.4W at Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 114 h into forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 22.00 | 78.00 | 120.0 | 411.3 | Gordon's, Long Island, Bahamas
| AVAL | 24.12 | 74.51 | 118.5 | 237.9 | Rocky Point, San Salvador, Bahamas
| %IMP | 25% | 42%
|
| GFNO | 26.68 | 79.05 | 115.5 | 300.3 | West End, Grand Bahama, Bahamas
| GFAL | 24.20 | 80.60 | 120.0 | 444.1 |
| %IMP | -300% | -48%
|
| VBNO | 25.00 | 78.80 | 120.0 | 245.3 |
| VBAL | 25.10 | 79.50 | 120.0 | 313.3 |
| %IMP | 0% | -28%
| |