QuickTime movie of DLM wind model
forecasts
QuickTime movie of DLM wind data
increments
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 150. | 135. | 143. | 87. | 111. | 279. | 441. | 657. | 712. | 656.
| AVAL | 48. | 74. | 44. | 133. | 225. | 344. | 379. | 513. | 454. | 495.
| %IMP | 68% | 77% | 69% | -53% | -103% | -23% | 14% | 22% | 36% | 25%
|
| GFNO | 82. | 101. | 70. | 231. | 403. | 616. | 752. | 1025. | 1252. | 1489.
| GFAL | 68. | 173. | 150. | 122. | 211. | 402. | 523. | 818. | 1018. | 1249.
| %IMP | 17% | -71% | -114% | 47% | 48% | 35% | 30% | 20% | 19% | 16%
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -69. | -104. | -95. | -81. | -48. | -32. | -19. | -9. | -2. | -3.
| AVAL | -69. | -100. | -97. | -84. | -50. | -32. | -19. | -11. | -6. | 1.
| %IMP | 0% | 4% | -2% | -4% | -4% | 0% | 0% | -22% | -200% | 67%
|
| GFNO | 7. | -23. | -15. | -5. | 28. | 43. | 37. | 54. | 67. | 65.
| GFAL | -3. | -32. | -22. | -14. | 26. | 41. | 45. | 51. | 71. | 74.
| %IMP | 57% | -39% | -47% | -180% | 7% | 5% | -22% | 6% | -6% | -14%
|
| SHNO | -20. | -51. | -46. | -38. | -7. | -11. | -10. | -4. | 7. | 8.
| SHAL | -21. | -54. | -50. | -42. | -12. | -14. | -13. | -7. | 4. | 6.
| %IMP | -5% | -6% | -9% | -11% | -71% | -21% | -30% | -75% | 43% | 25%
|
| DSNO | -20. | -51. | -46. | -38. | -7. | -11. | -10. | -4. | 7. | 8.
| DSAL | -21. | -54. | -50. | -42. | -12. | -14. | -13. | -7. | 4. | 6.
| %IMP | -5% | -6% | -9% | -11% | -71% | -21% | -30% | -75% | 43% | 25%
| |
17/1800 UTC 17.4N 64.8W St. Croix, USVI 24 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 17.73 | 64.54 | 43.0 | 45.9 | Christiansted, St. Croix, USVI
| AVAL | 17.94 | 65.23 | 23.0 | 75.3 | Near Frederiksted, St. Croix, USVI
| %IMP | 95% | -64%
|
| GFNO | 17.70 | 64.88 | 30.0 | 34.4 | Frederiksted, St. Croix, USVI
| GFAL | 17.88 | 65.00 | 39.0 | 57.4 | Near Frederiksted, St. Croix, USVI
| %IMP | -150% | -67%
|
|
18/1800 UTC 18.0N 63.3W St. Martin 48 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 18.36 | 63.92 | 50.0 | 76.7 | Virgin Gorda, British Virgin Islands
| AVAL | 18.09 | 64.69 | 27.5 | 147.2 | Near Christiansted, St. Croix, USVI
| %IMP | -925% | -92%
|
| GFNO | 18.21 | 64.29 | 34.5 | 107.1 | Near Road Town, Tortola, British Virgin Islands
| GFAL | 18.40 | 64.50 | 44.0 | 134.2 | Road Town, Tortola, British Virgin Islands
| %IMP | 70% | -25%
|
|
19/0000 UTC 18.1N 63.1W Anguilla 54 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
|
| AVNN | 18.71 | 63.42 | 55.5 | 75.7 | Sombrero Island, British West Indies
| AVAL | 18.53 | 63.54 | 40.5 | 66.6 | Sombrero Island, British West Indies
| %IMP | -800% | 12%
|
| GFNO | 18.47 | 64.04 | 36.5 | 107.3 | Near Virgin Gorda, British Virgin Islands
| GFAL | 18.65 | 64.25 | 46.5 | 135.8 | Anegada, British Virgin Islands
| %IMP | 57% | -27%
|
|
19/0600 UTC 18.0N 62.9W St. Barthelemy 60 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 18.71 | 63.42 | 55.5 | 96.1 | Sombrero Island, British West Indies
| AVAL | 18.53 | 63.54 | 40.5 | 89.6 | Sombrero Island, British West Indies
| %IMP | -333% | 7%
|
| GFNO | 18.47 | 64.04 | 36.5 | 131.1 | Near Virgin Gorda, British Virgin Islands
| GFAL | 18.65 | 64.25 | 46.5 | 159.6 | Anegada, British Virgin Islands
| %IMP | 43% | -22%
|
|
20/0000 UTC 17.3N 61.8W Antigua 78 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 18.71 | 63.42 | 55.5 | 232.0 | Sombrero Island, British West Indies
| AVAL | 18.53 | 63.54 | 40.5 | 220.1 | Sombrero Island, British West Indies
| %IMP | -67% | 5%
|
| GFNO | 18.47 | 64.04 | 36.5 | 270.2 | Near Virgin Gorda, British Virgin Islands
| GFAL | 18.65 | 64.25 | 46.5 | 299.2 | Anegada, British Virgin Islands
| %IMP | 24% | -11%
| |