Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 46 | 91 | 97 | 35 | 40 | 88 | 168 | 229 | 359 | 631
| AVNO | 49 | 100 | 83 | 39 | 10 | 59 | 122 | 236 | 405 | 631
| %IMP | -7% | -10% | 14% | -11% | 75% | 33% | 27% | -3% | -13% | 0%
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| GFNO | 30 | 99 | 112 | 89 | 44 | 22 | 125 | 254 | 416 | 678
| GFDL | 38 | 90 | 97 | 89 | 37 | 44 | 145 | 290 | 450 | 703
| %IMP | -27% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 16% | 100% | -16% | -14% | -8% | -4%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -67 | -52 | -44 | -33 | -30 | -2 | 5 | 0 | -3 | 2
| AVNO | -53 | -39 | -40 | -32 | -27 | -1 | 5 | 0 | -2 | 2
| %IMP | 21% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 10% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0%
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| GFNO | -18 | 2 | -5 | -3 | -7 | 22 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 31
| GFDL | -11 | 1 | -5 | -7 | -7 | 22 | 24 | 28 | 16 | 22
| %IMP | 39% | 50% | 0% | -133% | 0% | 0% | -26% | 0% | -16% | 29%
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14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 13.0 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 21.86 | 84.91 | 11.0 | 34.8 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 21.76 | 85.21 | 10.5 | 6.7 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -25% | 81%
|
| GFNO | 21.65 | 85.19 | 11.0 | 6.7 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.60 | 85.23 | 10.5 | 11.5 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -25% | -72%
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16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 67.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
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| AVNN | 30.31 | 87.34 | 69.0 | 55.1 | Pensacola, FL
| AVNO | 30.23 | 88.08 | 68.0 | 17.6 | Dauphin Island, AL
| %IMP | 50% | 68%
|
| GFNO | 30.24 | 87.94 | 65.5 | 5.9 | Gulf Shores, AL
| GFDL | 30.38 | 88.28 | 67.5 | 124.4 | Dauphin Island, AL
| %IMP | 67% | -2108%
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Figure 5 currently unavailable