Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 24 | 0 | 46 | 44 | 38 | 60 | 156 | 202 | 203 | 212
| AVNO | 44 | 56 | 133 | 100 | 112 | 143 | 197 | 232 | 252 | 52
| %IMP | -83% | und% | -189% | -127% | -195% | -138% | -27% | -15% | -24% | 75%
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| GFNO | 0 | 35 | 83 | 84 | 80 | 78 | 67 | 24 | 116 | 275
| GFDL | 33 | 78 | 118 | 113 | 126 | 140 | 154 | 85 | 67 | 204
| %IMP | und% | -123% | -42% | -35% | -58% | -79% | -130% | -254% | 42% | 26%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -71 | -64 | -58 | -46 | -39 | -39 | -30 | 2 | 8 | 3
| AVNO | -50 | -69 | -67 | -49 | -37 | -37 | -36 | -9 | -2 | 3
| %IMP | 30% | -8% | -16% | -7% | 5% | 5% | -20% | -350% | 75% | 0%
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| GFNO | -19 | -16 | -15 | -5 | -8 | -8 | -15 | 19 | 20 | 17
| GFDL | -12 | -11 | -12 | -7 | -11 | -9 | -15 | 6 | 11 | 18
| %IMP | 37% | 31% | 20% | -40% | -38% | -13% | 0% | 68% | 45% | 6%
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12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 2.25 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 18.82 | 81.57 | 2.0 | 11.5 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| AVNO | 19.14 | 81.48 | 2.0 | 26.7 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| %IMP | 0% | -132%
|
| GFNO | 18.85 | 81.60 | 3.0 | 11.9 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman island
| GFDL | 18.96 | 81.61 | 3.0 | 13.3 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| %IMP | 0% | -12%
|
|
14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 37.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.87 | 84.92 | 35.0 | 34.5 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 21.94 | 84.66 | 30.5 | 51.7 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -225% | -50%
|
| GFNO | 21.62 | 85.25 | 32.0 | 10.3 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.92 | 84.90 | 30.5 | 39.4 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -30% | -283%
|
16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 91.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.44 | 86.53 | 99.5 | 134.1 | Destin, FL
| AVNO | 30.25 | 85.63 | 94.5 | 218.0 | Panama City, FL
| %IMP | 59% | -63%
|
| GFNO | 30.27 | 87.58 | 90.5 | 31.7 | Orange Beach, AL
| GFDL | 30.41 | 86.83 | 89.0 | 105.3 | Fort Walton Beach, FL
| %IMP | -300% | -222%
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