Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 15 | 53 | 73 | 131 | 182 | 198 | 266 | 320 | 389 | 403
| AVNO | 15 | 84 | 172 | 204 | 266 | 277 | 353 | 375 | 490 | 402
| %IMP | 0% | -59% | -136% | -56% | -46% | -40% | -33% | -17% | -26% | 0%
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| GFNO | 25 | 10 | 56 | 56 | 135 | 163 | 163 | 102 | 87 | 111
| GFDL | 25 | 78 | 125 | 115 | 178 | 191 | 169 | 67 | 19 | 177
| %IMP | 0% | -680% | -125% | -103% | -32% | -17% | -4% | 34% | 78% | -59%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -64 | -65 | -60 | -62 | -41 | -46 | -44 | -24 | -4 | 17
| AVNO | -45 | -51 | -66 | -69 | -50 | -40 | -42 | -45 | -6 | 7
| %IMP | 30% | 22% | -10% | -11% | -22% | 13% | 5% | -88% | -50% | 59%
|
| GFNO | -17 | -13 | -5 | -19 | -3 | -9 | -18 | -15 | 3 | 11
| GFDL | -9 | -10 | -12 | -21 | -9 | -14 | -18 | -18 | 5 | 10
| %IMP | 47% | 23% | -140% | -11% | -200% | -56% | 0% | -20% | -67% | 9%
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12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 8.25 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 18.80 | 81.68 | 9.0 | 21.9 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| AVNO | 18.83 | 81.81 | 10.0 | 33.5 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| %IMP | -133% | -53%
|
| GFNO | 18.74 | 81.63 | 9.0 | 22.4 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman island
| GFDL | 19.03 | 81.62 | 9.0 | 19.2 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| %IMP | 0% | 14%
|
|
14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 43.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 22.13 | 84.33 | 43.0 | 101.6 | La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.20 | 83.80 | 36.0 | 154.6 | Galafre, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | und% | -52%
|
| GFNO | 21.82 | 85.04 | 39.5 | 21.2 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.89 | 84.89 | 35.0 | 38.3 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -78% | -81%
|
16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 97.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.88 | 84.34 | 102.5 | 353.5 | St. Teresa, FL
| AVNO | 30.03 | 83.95 | 95.5 | 380.1 | St. Marks, FL
| %IMP | 73% | -7%
|
| GFNO | 30.42 | 86.96 | 93.5 | 93.4 | Pensacola, FL
| GFDL | 30.46 | 87.40 | 93.5 | 56.0 | Pensacola, FL
| %IMP | 0% | 40%
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