Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 88 | 139 | 200 | 238 | 322 | 412 | 512 | 573 | 783 | 881
| AVNO | 25 | 85 | 94 | 138 | 214 | 341 | 500 | 606 | 802 | 918
| %IMP | 72% | 59% | 43% | 42% | 34% | 17% | 2% | -6% | -2% | -4%
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| GFNO | 24 | 85 | 111 | 183 | 266 | 357 | 499 | 565 | 694 | 741
| GFDL | 33 | 42 | 105 | 175 | 247 | 343 | 484 | 547 | 701 | 738
| %IMP | -38% | 51% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | -1% | 0%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -75 | -79 | -91 | -78 | -76 | -89 | -86 | -90 | -63 | -65
| AVNO | -60 | -66 | -90 | -75 | -65 | -88 | -80 | -84 | -67 | -66
| %IMP | 20% | 16% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 7% | 7% | -6% | -1%
|
| GFNO | -7 | -6 | -30 | -23 | -10 | -29 | -37 | -48 | -39 | -34
| GFDL | -11 | -11 | -31 | -17 | -12 | -29 | -33 | -43 | -37 | -44
| %IMP | -57% | -83% | -3% | 26% | -20% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 5% | -29%
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11/0330 UTC 17.4N 77.2W 20 n mi S of Portland Point, Jamaica 15.5 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 17.86 | 76.35 | 23.5 | 103.5 | Morant Bay, Jamaica
| AVNO | 17.88 | 76.93 | 22.5 | 60.5 | Kingston, Jamaica
| %IMP | 13% | 42%
|
| GFNO | 17.67 | 77.25 | 28.5 | 30.5 | Salt River, Jamaica
| GFDL | 17.83 | 77.67 | 30.0 | 69.0 | Alligator Pond, Jamaica
| %IMP | -12% | -126%
|
|
12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 50.25 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 20.92 | 79.68 | 61.0 | 294.1 | Near Cayo Breton, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.98 | 80.25 | 57.0 | 177.6 | Near Cayman Brac
| %IMP | 37% | 40%
|
| GFNO | 20.47 | 80.07 | 55.0 | 229.8 | Near Cayo Breton, Cuba
| GFDL | 20.35 | 80.15 | 55.5 | 214.3 | Near Cayman Brac
| %IMP | -11% | 7%
|
14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 85.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.85 | 80.19 | 70.0 | 517.2 | Trinidad, Sancti Spiritus, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.10 | 81.20 | 72.0 | 414.7 | Near Cienfuegos, Cienfuegos, Cuba
| %IMP | 13% | 20%
|
| GFNO | 22.18 | 81.55 | 68.5 | 379.9 | Near Jaguey Grande, Matanzas, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.71 | 81.33 | 66.5 | 399.5 | Cayo Largo, Cuba
| %IMP | -12% | -5%
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16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 139.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.12 | 81.07 | 94.0 | 877.6 | Flamingo, FL
| AVNO | 25.68 | 81.28 | 93.5 | 821.2 | Chokoloskee, FL
| %IMP | -1% | 6%
|
| GFNO | 28.21 | 82.75 | 104.0 | 546.2 | Beacon Square, FL
| GFDL | 28.70 | 82.51 | 107.0 | 547.4 | Spring Hill, FL
| %IMP | 9% | 0%
| |