Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 31 | 33 | 57 | 85 | 98 | 173 | 245 | 301 | 399 | 547
| AVNO | 55 | 62 | 124 | 123 | 187 | 273 | 398 | 518 | 647 | 915
| %IMP | -77% | -88% | -118% | -45% | -91% | -58% | -62% | -72% | -62% | -67%
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| GFNO | 117 | 209 | 256 | 295 | 367 | 399 | 505 | 590 | 763 | 1048 |
| GFDL | 78 | 151 | 200 | 278 | 374 | 360 | 424 | 504 | 594 | 744
| %IMP | 33% | 28% | 22% | 6% | -2% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 22% | 29%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
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| AVNN | -84 | -81 | -97 | -83 | -79 | -76 | -63 | -91 | -95 | -93
| AVNO | -67 | -73 | -90 | -81 | -73 | -74 | -68 | -92 | -87 | -88
| %IMP | 20% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 3% | -8% | -1% | 8% | 5%
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| GFNO | -1 | -12 | -13 | -12 | -32 | -44 | -44 | -60 | -46 | -43
| GFDL | 8 | 5 | -14 | -8 | -20 | -45 | -41 | -54 | -44 | -50
| %IMP | -700% | 58% | -8% | 33% | 37% | -2% | 7% | 10% | 4% | -16%
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11/0330 UTC 17.4N 77.2W 20 n mi S of Portland Point, Jamaica 75.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 18.17 | 76.32 | 87.0 | 126.4 | Boston Bay, Jamaica
| AVNO | 17.90 | 74.00 | 72.0 | 343.3 | Port Salut, Haiti
| %IMP | 70% | -172%
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| GFNO | 17.77 | 71.68 | 51.0 | 586.1 | Oviedo, Dominican Republic
| GFDL | 18.19 | 73.59 | 51.0 | 391.8 | Saint-Louis-De-Sud, Haiti
| %IMP | 0% | 33%
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12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 110.25 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 19.88 | 77.42 | 101.5 | 441.2 | Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.90 | 75.00 | 96.0 | 690.1 | Vateras, Guantanamo, Cuba
| %IMP | -63% | -56%
|
| GFNO | 18.21 | 72.20 | 53.5 | 982.5 | Marigot, Haiti
| GFDL | 19.95 | 76.31 | 65.0 | 556.2 | Bellaire, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| %IMP | 20% | 43%
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14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 145.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 19.88 | 77.42 | 101.5 | 833.0 | Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.90 | 75.00 | 96.0 | 1078.1 | Vateras, Guantanamo, Cuba
| %IMP | -15% | -29%
|
| GFNO | 20.08 | 74.41 | 66.5 | 1134.3 | Cojababo, Guantanamo, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.95 | 76.31 | 65.0 | 943.4 | Bellaire, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| %IMP | -2% | 17%
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16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 204.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
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| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
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