Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 90 | 109 | 168 | 209 | 286 | 305 | 284 | 196 | 267 | 335
| AVNO | 55 | 95 | 140 | 186 | 209 | 178 | 175 | 129 | 250 | 315
| %IMP | 39% | 13% | 17% | 11% | 27% | 42% | 38% | 34% | 6% | 6%
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| GFNO | 39 | 133 | 214 | 272 | 311 | 369 | 368 | 389 | 489 | 546
| GFDL | 33 | 165 | 226 | 289 | 312 | 359 | 347 | 377 | 500 | 566
| %IMP | 15% | -24% | -6% | -6% | -0% | 3% | 6% | 3% | -2% | -4%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -73 | -87 | -95 | -99 | -114 | -106 | -98 | -112 | -97 | -120
| AVNO | -58 | -70 | -76 | -84 | -98 | -90 | -82 | -92 | -81 | -104
| %IMP | 21% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13%
|
| GFNO | 13 | 7 | 12 | -2 | -21 | -26 | -31 | -43 | -40 | -65
| GFDL | 7 | 9 | 10 | -6 | -24 | -31 | -32 | -40 | -42 | -64
| %IMP | 46% | -29% | 17% | -200% | -14% | -19% | -3% | 7% | -5% | 2%
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07/2130 UTC 11.9N 61.8W 6 n mi SW of Prickly Point, Grenada 21.5 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 11.72 | 61.91 | 18.0 | 23.3 | Near St. George's, Grenada
| AVNO | 12.35 | 61.57 | 18.5 | 55.9 | Victoria, Grenada
| %IMP | 14% | -140%
|
| GFNO | 12.56 | 61.36 | 23.0 | 87.5 | Petite Martinique, Grenada
| GFDL | 13.00 | 61.33 | 22.5 | 132.4 | Kingstown, St. Vincent, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
| %IMP | 33% | -51%
|
|
11/0330 UTC 17.4N 77.2W 20 n mi S of Portland Point, Jamaica 99.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 17.78 | 77.95 | 93.5 | 90.0 | Near Rowes Corner, Jamaica
| AVNO | 18.40 | 76.10 | 96.0 | 160.8 | Near Boston Bay, Jamaica
| %IMP | 42% | -79%
|
| GFNO | 19.89 | 75.53 | 88.0 | 327.8 | Santiago de Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.93 | 75.81 | 90.0 | 316.8 | Santiago de Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba
| %IMP | 17% | 3%
|
|
12/1415 UTC 18.9N 81.5W 22 n mi SSW of Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island 134.25 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 19.78 | 80.83 | 111.5 | 120.4 | Near Georgetown, Grand Cayman Island
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
|
14/0100 UTC 21.7N 85.2W 15 n mi SW of Cabo San Antonio, Cuba 169.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
|
16/0650 UTC 30.2N 87.9W Near Pine Beach, AL 222.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
| |