Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
Tropical Storm Gustav.

Quicktime movie of DLM wind analyses
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data initial increments

Assessments for each forecast time at

September 09, 2002				18 Z
September 10, 2002	00 Z	06 Z	12 Z

Figure 1a. Track forecast errors for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models for the Tropical Storm Gustav synoptic surveillance mission.

Figure 1b. Track forecast improvements for the GFS and GFDL models for the the Tropical Storm Gustav synoptic surveillance mission.

Figure 2. Forecast errors for the landfall of Tropical Storm Gustav at Kelpy Cove, NS, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models.

Figure 3. Forecast errors for the landfall of Tropical Storm Gustav at Rose-Blanche-Harbour Le Cou, NFLD, in the (a) cross- and (b) along-track directions for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models.

Return to 2002 assessment page
Return to HRD home page