Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
04 September 2004 1200 UTC
Frances.


Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data increment


TRACK AND INTENSITY PERFORMANCE

TRACK (km)
MODEL12 h24 h36 h48 h60 h72 h84 h96 h108 h120 h
INTENSITY (kt)
MODEL12 h24 h36 h48 h60 h72 h84 h96 h108 h120 h

Landfall forecasts

MODELLATLONTIMEERRORLOCATION
MODELLATLONTIMEERRORLOCATION

Figure 1.

Figure 2.

Figure 3.

Figure 4.

Figure 5.