Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 56 | 37 | 56 | 30 | 78 | 203 | 173 | 258 | 433 | 555
| AVNO | 11 | 15 | 39 | 23 | 63 | 161 | 189 | 244 | 394 | 423
| %IMP | 80% | 59% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 21% | -9% | 5% | 9% | 24%
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| GFNO | 67 | 35 | 73 | 68 | 139 | 233 | 319 | 452 | 656 | 851
| GFDL | 39 | 15 | 52 | 74 | 165 | 281 | 395 | 503 | 717 | 909
| %IMP | 42% | 51% | 29% | -9% | -19% | -21% | -24% | -11% | -9% | -7%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -31 | -23 | -24 | -5 | -10 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5
| AVNO | -16 | -16 | -20 | 1 | -12 | 10 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 2
| %IMP | 48% | 30% | 17% | 80% | -23% | 33% | 43% | 40% | 67% | 60%
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| GFNO | 10 | 15 | 12 | 34 | 22 | 36 | 31 | 22 | 12 | 18
| GFDL | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 14 | 11
| %IMP | 0% | 33% | 42% | 12% | -5% | 6% | -6% | 27% | 17% | 39%
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04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 10.0 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 26.52 | 78.61 | 16.5 | 41.7 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.61 | 78.34 | 9.5 | 14.0 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 92% | 66%
|
| GFNO | 26.41 | 78.81 | 16.5 | 64.2 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 26.59 | 78.45 | 13.5 | 24.9 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 46% | 61%
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05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 28.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.87 | 80.03 | 41.5 | 40.3 | Jupiter, FL
| AVNO | 27.55 | 80.36 | 31.5 | 42.0 | Fort Pierce, FL
| %IMP | 77% | -4%
|
| GFNO | 26.76 | 80.02 | 27.5 | 52.0 | Riviera Beach, FL
| GFDL | 27.16 | 80.19 | 28.5 | 9.9 | Port St. Lucie, FL
| %IMP | 100% | 81%
|
06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 66.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.23 | 85.92 | 80.5 | 185.0 | Panama City, FL
| AVNO | 29.52 | 85.07 | 67.0 | 121.6 | Cape San Blas, FL
| %IMP | 97% | 34%
|
| GFNO | 30.33 | 87.46 | 77.0 | 333.2 | Pensacola, FL
| GFDL | 30.26 | 87.92 | 75.0 | 376.9 | Gulf Shores, AL
| %IMP | 22% | -13%
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