Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 37 | 15 | 32 | 60 | 104 | 140 | 83 | 115 | 285 | 365
| AVNO | 54 | 67 | 15 | 70 | 90 | 117 | 73 | 101 | 205 | 319
| %IMP | -46% | -347% | 53% | -17% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 28% | 13%
|
| GFNO | 51 | 10 | 41 | 95 | 162 | 183 | 182 | 272 | 544 | 728
| GFDL | 51 | 23 | 41 | 92 | 147 | 178 | 125 | 173 | 372 | 530
| %IMP | 0% | -130% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 31% | 36% | 32% | 27%
|
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -47 | -37 | -25 | -28 | -2 | -5 | -2 | -7 | -4 | -1
| AVNO | -14 | -8 | -8 | -14 | 4 | -6 | -2 | -5 | -6 | -2
| %IMP | 70% | 79% | 68% | 50% | -100% | -20% | 0% | 29% | -50% | -100%
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| GFNO | 3 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 35
| GFDL | 3 | 18 | 21 | 12 | 28 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 15 | 26
| %IMP | 0% | -64% | -110% | -140% | -4% | 4% | 8% | -7% | -25% | 26%
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03/1000 UTC 25.1N 76.1W Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 4.0 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 25.17 | 76.01 | 2.5 | 11.9 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 25.17 | 76.08 | 4.0 | 8.0 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 100% | 33%
|
| GFNO | 25.20 | 76.21 | 6.5 | 15.7 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.04 | 76.13 | 5.0 | 7.3 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 60% | 54%
|
|
04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 28.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.60 | 78.36 | 29.0 | 15.9 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.92 | 77.82 | 22.0 | 51.8 | Abaco Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -500% | -126%
|
| GFNO | 26.63 | 78.13 | 28.0 | 7.8 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 26.72 | 78.05 | 28.0 | 20.0 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 0% | -156%
|
05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 46.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 28.16 | 80.63 | 57.0 | 114.7 | Melbourne, FL
| AVNO | 27.91 | 80.46 | 56.5 | 82.9 | Palm Bay, FL
| %IMP | 5% | 28%
|
| GFNO | 29.06 | 80.91 | 63.5 | 218.0 | Port Orange, FL
| GFDL | 28.78 | 80.71 | 61.5 | 182.5 | Titusville, FL
| %IMP | 11% | 16%
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06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 84.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
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