Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
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MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 46 | 87 | 73 | 100 | 90 | 72 | 50 | 29 | 22 | 102
| AVNO | 23 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 30 | 33 | 80 | 91 | 78 | 168
| %IMP | 50% | 77% | 59% | 60% | 67% | 54% | -60% | -214% | -255% | -65%
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| GFNO | 20 | 20 | 30 | 32 | 67 | 94 | 145 | 149 | 138 | 267
| GFDL | 20 | 20 | 40 | 60 | 60 | 30 | 78 | 48 | 59 | 168
| %IMP | 0% | 0% | -67% | -88% | 10% | 68% | 46% | 68% | 57% | 37%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
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| AVNN | -62 | -49 | -31 | -29 | -28 | -24 | -3 | -17 | -2 | -4
| AVNO | -37 | -30 | -6 | -13 | -13 | -14 | 1 | -13 | -3 | -7
| %IMP | 30% | 38% | 81% | 55% | 54% | 42% | 67% | 24%- | 50% | -75%
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| GFNO | -3 | 7 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 10
| GFDL | 2 | 17 | 30 | 22 | 16 | 12 | 26 | 9 | 14 | 17
| %IMP | 33% | -143% | -36% | -16% | -167% | -50% | 16% | 44% | -27% | -70%
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02/1930 UTC 24.0N 74.5W San Salvador Island, Bahamas 7.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 23.75 | 74.81 | 9.5 | 42.0 | Rum Cay, Bahamas
| AVNO | 23.78 | 74.72 | 9.0 | 33.1 | Rum Cay, Bahamas
| %IMP | 25% | 21%
|
| GFNO | 23.84 | 74.59 | 8.0 | 20.0 | Rum Cay, Bahamas
| GFDL | 23.82 | 74.61 | 8.0 | 22.9 | Rum Cay, Bahamas
| %IMP | 0% | -15%
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03/0530 UTC 24.6N 75.6W Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas 17.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
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| AVNN | 24.13 | 75.55 | 13.5 | 52.5 | Southern end of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 24.54 | 75.58 | 16.0 | 7.0 | Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 62% | 87%
|
| GFNO | 24.57 | 75.59 | 16.0 | 3.5 | Cat Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 24.68 | 75.69 | 17.0 | 12.7 | Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 67% | -263%
|
03/1000 UTC 25.1N 76.1W Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 22.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 24.51 | 76.27 | 18.0 | 67.8 | Southern end of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 25.05 | 76.16 | 21.0 | 8.2 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 75% | 88%
|
| GFNO | 24.99 | 76.12 | 20.5 | 12.4 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.05 | 76.15 | 21.0 | 7.5 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 33% | 40%
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04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 46.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.18 | 78.95 | 43.5 | 88.0 | Near Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.56 | 78.52 | 43.5 | 32.1 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 0% | 64%
|
| GFNO | 26.52 | 78.37 | 43.0 | 19.1 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 26.41 | 78.82 | 46.0 | 65.2 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 100% | -241%
|
05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 64.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.83 | 80.04 | 55.5 | 44.1 | Riviera Beach, FL
| AVNO | 27.23 | 80.23 | 65.5 | 11.5 | Port St. Lucie, FL
| %IMP | 89% | 74%
|
| GFNO | 28.37 | 80.58 | 73.0 | 135.2 | Cocoa Beach, FL
| GFDL | 27.12 | 80.14 | 60.5 | 10.7 | Port Salerno, FL
| %IMP | 53% | 92%
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06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 102.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.07 | 84.17 | 99.0 | 16.7 | Wakulla Beach, FL
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
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| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | 30.07 | 84.07 | 97.5 | 7.5 | St. Marks, FL
| %IMP | |
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