Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 30 | 20 | 60 | 56 | 83 | 77 | 98 | 135 | 87 | 108
| AVNO | 38 | 15 | 73 | 41 | 80 | 99 | 154 | 191 | 163 | 195
| %IMP | -27% | 25% | -22% | 27% | 4% | -29% | -57% | -41% | -87% | -80%
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| GFNO | 49 | 64 | 83 | 64 | 79 | 111 | 141 | 182 | 150 | 174
| GFDL | 49 | 60 | 92 | 60 | 60 | 82 | 120 | 188 | 164 | 199
| %IMP | 0% | 6% | -11% | 6% | 24% | 26% | 15% | -3% | -9% | -14%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -73 | -54 | -46 | -32 | -27 | -27 | -2 | 2 | 5 | 10
| AVNO | -38 | -32 | -16 | -13 | -7 | -16 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 5
| %IMP | 38% | 41% | 65% | 59% | 76% | 41% | -200% | 100% | -120% | 50%
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| GFNO | -15 | -1 | -2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 29 | 35 | 34
| GFDL | -10 | -4 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 36
| %IMP | 33% | -300% | -150% | -18% | -29% | -200% | -19% | 10% | 17% | -6%
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02/1930 UTC 24.0N 74.5W San Salvador Island, Bahamas 13.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 24.09 | 74.45 | 15.5 | 11.2 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 24.19 | 74.44 | 15.0 | 22.0 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 25% | -96%
|
| GFNO | 23.93 | 74.59 | 18.0 | 12.0 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 23.85 | 74.62 | 17.5 | 20.6 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 11% | -72%
|
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03/0530 UTC 24.6N 75.6W Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas 23.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 24.79 | 75.67 | 25.5 | 22.3 | Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 24.76 | 75.55 | 23.5 | 18.5 | Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 100% | 17%
|
| GFNO | 24.82 | 75.47 | 27.5 | 27.7 | Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 24.73 | 75.59 | 28.0 | 14.5 | Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -13% | 48%
|
03/1000 UTC 25.1N 76.1W Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 28.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 24.99 | 76.11 | 29.5 | 12.3 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 25.23 | 75.98 | 28.5 | 18.8 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 67% | -53%
|
| GFNO | 25.43 | 76.30 | 35.0 | 41.8 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.25 | 76.30 | 35.0 | 26.1 | Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 0% | 38%
|
|
04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 52.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.35 | 78.77 | 62.0 | 63.1 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.70 | 78.12 | 57.5 | 13.7 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 45% | 78%
|
| GFNO | 26.74 | 78.05 | 57.0 | 21.5 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 26.71 | 78.38 | 58.5 | 21.7 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -30% | -1%
|
05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 70.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.63 | 80.01 | 73.0 | 66.1 | Lake Worth, FL
| AVNO | 28.50 | 80.55 | 87.5 | 148.5 | Cape Canaveral, FL
| %IMP | -580% | -115%
|
| GFNO | 28.35 | 80.62 | 87.0 | 134.3 | Cocoa Beach, FL
| GFDL | 28.03 | 80.54 | 84.5 | 98.1 | Palm Bay, FL
| %IMP | 15% | 27%
|
|
06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 108.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.70 | 83.40 | 108.0 | 72.9 | Steinhatchee, FL
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
| |