Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 49 | 67 | 100 | 83 | 60 | 59 | 78 | 78 | 59 | 118
| AVNO | 100 | 111 | 129 | 152 | 150 | 134 | 185 | 226 | 254 | 346
| %IMP | -104% | -66% | -29% | -83% | -150% | -127% | -137% | -190% | -331% | -193%
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| GFNO | 30 | 68 | 105 | 137 | 181 | 201 | 284 | 360 | 448 | 480
| GFDL | 45 | 53 | 78 | 92 | 128 | 126 | 180 | 249 | 325 | 356
| %IMP | -50% | 22% | 26% | 33% | 29% | 37% | 37% | 31% | 27% | 26%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
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| AVNN | -74 | -79 | -70 | -51 | -43 | -32 | -29 | -16 | -2 | -1
| AVNO | -56 | -73 | -61 | -36 | -26 | -10 | -8 | 0 | 15 | 13
| %IMP | 24% | 8% | 13% | 29% | 40% | 69% | 74% | 100% | -650% | -1200%
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| GFNO | 3 | -11 | -7 | -1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 22
| GFDL | 1 | -15 | -13 | -6 | -4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 26
| %IMP | 67% | -36% | -86% | -500% | und% | 50% | und% | -50% | 0% | -18%
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02/1930 UTC 24.0N 74.5W San Salvador Island, Bahamas 37.5 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 24.55 | 74.03 | 34.5 | 77.5 | Near San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 24.70 | 73.72 | 34.0 | 110.8 | Offshore San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -17% | -43%
|
| GFNO | 24.71 | 73.84 | 38.0 | 103.4 | Offshore San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 24.51 | 74.16 | 41.0 | 66.3 | Near San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -600% | 36%
|
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03/0530 UTC 24.6N 75.6W Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas 47.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.73 | 76.08 | 54.0 | 134.5 | Near northern tip of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 25.70 | 74.65 | 46.0 | 155.1 | Offshore Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 73% | -15%
|
| GFNO | 25.50 | 74.70 | 46.0 | 134.9 | Offshore Cat Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.19 | 75.00 | 49.0 | 89.2 | Near northern tip of Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 0% | 34%
|
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03/1000 UTC 25.1N 76.1W Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 52.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.73 | 76.08 | 54.0 | 70.0 | Near northern tip of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.18 | 75.76 | 59.5 | 124.7 | Offshore Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -275% | -78%
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| GFNO | 25.91 | 75.10 | 50.0 | 134.7 | Offshore Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.64 | 75.45 | 53.5 | 88.6 | Near Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 25% | 34%
|
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04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 76.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.76 | 77.91 | 70.0 | 33.8 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.89 | 76.60 | 69.5 | 162.0 | Near Abaco Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -8% | -379%
|
| GFNO | 27.15 | 76.25 | 61.5 | 202.7 | Near Abaco Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 27.22 | 77.10 | 70.0 | 128.9 | Near Abaco Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 59% | 36%
|
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05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 94.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 27.97 | 80.52 | 99.0 | 91.2 | Palm Bay, FL
| AVNO | 28.91 | 79.68 | 114.5 | 196.7 | Near Cape Canaveral, FL
| %IMP | -345% | -116% |
|
| GFNO | 32.32 | 80.67 | 118.5 | 570.6 | Hilton Head Island, SC
| GFDL | 31.33 | 81.43 | 116.5 | 474.1 | St. Simons Island, GA
| %IMP | 8% | 17%
|
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06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 132.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
| |