Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 56 | 33 | 10 | 67 | 70 | 102 | 80 | 78 | 73 | 100
| AVNO | 21 | 42 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 35 | 46 | 49 | 63 | 134
| %IMP | 62% | -27% | -10% | 42% | 53% | 66% | 42% | 31% | 14% | -34%
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| GFNO | 25 | 15 | 24 | 84 | 121 | 161 | 229 | 296 | 392 | 555
| GFDL | 33 | 33 | 11 | 38 | 75 | 122 | 200 | 252 | 358 | 494
| %IMP | -32% | -120% | 54% | 55% | 38% | 24% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 11%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -73 | -82 | -80 | -78 | -83 | -72 | -55 | -47 | -32 | -29
| AVNO | -68 | -77 | -80 | -75 | -79 | -70 | -55 | -49 | -34 | -21
| %IMP | 7% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 0% | -4% | -5% | 28%
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| GFNO | 0 | -4 | -3 | -4 | -18 | -15 | -6 | 5 | 3 | -5
| GFDL | 2 | 4 | -4 | -4 | -17 | -15 | -8 | 2 | 7 | 4
| %IMP | und% | 0% | -33% | 0% | 6% | 0% | -33% | 60% | -133% | 20%
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02/1930 UTC 24.0N 74.5W San Salvador Island, Bahamas 73.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 24.44 | 74.17 | 69.5 | 59.2 | Near San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 24.23 | 74.40 | 73.5 | 27.5 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 100% | 54%
|
| GFNO | 24.30 | 74.36 | 66.5 | 36.2 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 24.18 | 74.36 | 68.0 | 24.5 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 31% | 32%
|
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03/0530 UTC 24.6N 75.6W Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas 83.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.54 | 76.13 | 86.0 | 117.3 | Near northern tip of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 24.89 | 75.49 | 81.5 | 34.1 | Near northern tip of Cat Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 20% | 71%
|
| GFNO | 25.06 | 75.28 | 72.5 | 60.4 | Near northern tip of Cat Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.39 | 75.84 | 77.5 | 91.0 | Near central Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 45% | -51%
|
|
03/1000 UTC 25.1N 76.1W Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 88.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 25.54 | 76.13 | 86.0 | 49.0 | Near northern tip of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 25.27 | 76.03 | 86.0 | 20.2 | Central Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 0% | 59%
|
| GFNO | 25.63 | 76.04 | 77.5 | 59.2 | Near northern tip of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.58 | 76.07 | 79.0 | 53.4 | Near northern tip of Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 14% | 10%
|
|
04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 112.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 26.88 | 77.97 | 105.0 | 38.6 | Little Abaco Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 26.73 | 77.95 | 105.5 | 28.7 | Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -300% | -104%
|
| GFNO | 26.67 | 77.28 | 86.0 | 91.7 | Abaco Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 26.39 | 77.02 | 85.5 | 119.6 | Abaco Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | 6% | 67%
|
|
05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 130.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
|
06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 168.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
| |