Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 69 | 94 | 130 | 99 | 46 | 68 | 137 | 178 | 202 | 242
| AVNO | 25 | 44 | 35 | 59 | 62 | 113 | 153 | 193 | 232 | 260
| %IMP | 64% | 53% | 73% | 51% | -38% | -66% | -12% | -8% | -15% | -7%
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| GFNO | 25 | 53 | 76 | 74 | 61 | 84 | 80 | 111 | 137 | 219
| GFDL | 11 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 44 | 78 | 91 | 112 | 136 | 233
| %IMP | 56% | 79% | 68% | 59% | 28% | 7% | -14% | -1% | 1% | -6%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -69 | -72 | -76 | -78 | -78 | -74 | -77 | -63 | -46 | -29
| AVNO | -67 | -69 | -73 | -77 | -78 | -76 | -79 | -67 | -51 | -35
| %IMP | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | -3% | -3% | -6% | -11% | -21%
|
| GFNO | 3 | 10 | 7 | -3 | -13 | -19 | -33 | -25 | -10 | 3
| gfdl | 3 | 7 | 4 | -9 | -11 | -13 | -25 | -22 | -9 | 3
| %IMP | 0% | 30% | 43% | -200% | 15% | 32% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 0%
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02/1930 UTC 24.0N 74.5W San Salvador Island, Bahamas 91.5 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 24.53 | 74.15 | 105.5 | 68.7 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| AVNO | 25.58 | 74.60 | 115.5 | 175.8 | Acklins Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -71% | -156%
|
| GFNO | 25.20 | 74.80 | 96.0 | 217.4 | Well offshore Cat Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.41 | 74.70 | 99.0 | 157.9 | San Salvador Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -67% | 27%
|
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03/0530 UTC 24.6N 75.6W Northern end of Cat Island, Bahamas 101.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP
|
| GFNO | 25.75 | 75.29 | 101.0 | 131.5 | Well offshore Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 25.89 | 75.20 | 103.5 | 148.8 | Near Eleuthera Island, Bahamas
| %IMP | -300% | -13%
|
|
03/1000 UTC 25.1N 76.1W Eleuthera Island, Bahamas 106.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
|
| GFNO | 26.94 | 76.37 | 112.0 | 206.2 | Near Abaco Island, Bahamas
| GFDL | 27.00 | 76.17 | 113.0 | 211.2 | Abaco Island, Bahama
| %IMP | -17% | -2%
|
|
04/1000 UTC 26.6N 78.2W Grand Bahama Island, Bahamas 130.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
|
05/0430 UTC 27.2N 80.2W South end of Hutchinson Island, FL 148.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
|
|
06/1800 UTC 30.1N 84.0W Mouth of Aucilla River, FL 186.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP |
| |