Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 80 | 106 | 70 | 56 | 30 | 23 | 153 | | |
| AVNO | 39 | 84 | 70 | 59 | 153 | 358 | 405 | | |
| %IMP | 51% | 21% | 0% | -5% | -410% | -1457% | -165% | |
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| GFNO | 35 | 49 | 70 | 98 | 142 | 290 | | | |
| GFDL | 21 | 23 | 24 | 63 | 142 | 283 | | | |
| %IMP | 40% | 53% | 66% | 36% | 0% | 2% | | | |
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -27 | -39 | -44 | -76 | -76 | -21 | -10 | | |
| AVNO | -11 | -18 | -16 | -46 | -61 | -27 | -8 | | |
| %IMP | 59% | 54% | 64% | 39% | 20% | -29% | 20% | | |
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| GFNO | 23 | 21 | 15 | -11 | -31 | -2 | | | |
| GFDL | 25 | 25 | 18 | -11 | -26 | 0 | | | |
| %IMP | -9% | -19% | -20% | 0% | 16% | 100% | | | |
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18/0630 UTC 20.3N 87.4W Near Tulum, Mexico, 6.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 20.22 | 87.36 | 4.5 | 9.8 | Zamach, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.31 | 87.43 | 5.5 | 3.3 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 50% | 66%
|
| GFNO | 20.25 | 87.38 | 5.5 | 5.9 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.48 | 87.22 | 5.5 | 27.4 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 0% | -364%
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20/1200 UTC 24.8N 97.6W Near San Fernando, Mexico, 60.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 24.69 | 97.65 | 61.5 | 13.2 | La Coyota, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| AVNO | 23.66 | 97.79 | 58.5 | 128.1 | Morales, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| %IMP | 0% | -870%
|
| GFNO | 23.81 | 97.75 | 55.5 | 111.0 | La Pesca, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| GFDL | 23.97 | 97.78 | 55.5 | 94.0 | Soto la Marina, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| %IMP | 0% | 15%
| |