Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 94 | 105 | 158 | 129 | 178 | 198 | | | |
| AVNO | 100 | 83 | 84 | 45 | 121 | 245 | | | |
| %IMP | -6% | 21% | 47% | 65% | 32% | -24% | | | |
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| GFNO | 43 | 30 | 42 | 78 | 124 | 254 | | | |
| GFDL | 53 | 73 | 127 | 153 | 217 | 393 | | | |
| %IMP | -23% | -143% | -202% | -96% | -75% | -55% | | | |
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -82 | -30 | -50 | -50 | -79 | -37 | | | |
| AVNO | -68 | -13 | -34 | -26 | -57 | -55 | | | |
| %IMP | 17% | 57% | 32% | 48% | 28% | -49% | | | |
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| GFNO | -11 | 17 | 11 | 20 | -16 | -27 | | | |
| GFDL | -12 | 29 | 14 | 17 | -47 | -31 | | | |
| %IMP | -9% | -71% | -27% | 15% | -194% | -15% | | | |
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18/0630 UTC 20.3N 87.4W Near Tulum, Mexico, 12.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 19.94 | 87.46 | 9.5 | 40.7 | Zamach, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.30 | 86.91 | 8.0 | 51.1 | Cozumel, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -50% | -26%
|
| GFNO | 20.28 | 87.45 | 11.0 | 5.7 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.20 | 87.39 | 10.5 | 11.2 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | -33% | -96%
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20/1200 UTC 24.8N 97.6W Near San Fernando, Mexico, 66.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
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| AVNN | 23.05 | 97.74 | 68.0 | 194.9 | Rancho de Piedra, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| AVNO | 24.00 | 97.78 | 59.5 | 90.7 | Las Guayabas, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| %IMP | -225% | 53%
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| GFNO | 24.10 | 97.71 | 58.5 | 78.6 | Las Mujeres, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| GFDL | 23.70 | 97.79 | 55.0 | 123.7 | Morales, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| %IMP | -29% | -57%
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