Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 114 | 162 | 175 | 222 | 176 | 142 | 165 | | |
| AVNO | 57 | 46 | 72 | 79 | 123 | 102 | 332 | | |
| %IMP | 50% | 72% | 59% | 64% | 30% | 28% | -101% | | |
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| GFNO | 35 | 39 | 11 | 33 | 55 | 97 | 141 | 322 | |
| GFDL | 15 | 33 | 45 | 84 | 111 | 203 | 433 | 690 | |
| %IMP | 57% | 15% | -309% | -155% | -102% | -109% | -207% | -114% | |
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -87 | -79 | -30 | -49 | -51 | -80 | -53 | | |
| AVNO | -67 | -69 | -10 | -29 | -23 | -54 | -49 | | |
| %IMP | 23% | 13% | 67% | 41% | 55% | 32% | 8% | | |
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| GFNO | -3 | 0 | 24 | 17 | 19 | -13 | -26 | 3 | |
| GFDL | -11 | -5 | 20 | 10 | 13 | -36 | -29 | -5 | |
| %IMP | -267% | und% | 17% | 41% | 32% | -177% | -12% | -67% | |
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18/0630 UTC 20.3N 87.4W Near Tulum, Mexico, 24.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 20.25 | 87.32 | 19.0 | 10.0 | Tulsayab, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| AVNO | 20.57 | 87.14 | 23.0 | 40.4 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 73% | -304%
|
| GFNO | 20.48 | 87.24 | 23.0 | 26.0 | Playa del Carmen, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| GFDL | 20.14 | 87.47 | 23.5 | 19.2 | Tulum, Qintana Roo, Mexico
| %IMP | 33% | 26%
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20/1200 UTC 24.8N 97.6W Near San Fernando, Mexico, 78.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
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| AVNN | 23.66 | 97.77 | 71.0 | 127.8 | Morales, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| AVNO | 23.80 | 97.73 | 74.0 | 111.9 | La Pesca, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| %IMP | 43% | 12%
|
| GFNO | 24.88 | 97.62 | 71.0 | 9.1 | El Mezquital, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| GFDL | 23.83 | 97.73 | 68.0 | 108.6 | La Pesca, Tamaulipas, Mexico
| %IMP | 43% | -1093%
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