Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 79 | 78 | 33 | 20 | 68 | 187 | 280 | 299 | 399 | 402
| AVNO | 127 | 123 | 84 | 83 | 73 | 107 | 162 | 255 | 257 | 249
| %IMP | -61% | -58% | -155% | -315% | -7% | 43% | 42% | 15% | 36% | 32%
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| GFNO | 63 | 30 | 35 | 52 | 52 | 78 | 87 | 176 | 286 | 397
| GFDL | 77 | 69 | 70 | 78 | 89 | 87 | 36 | 78 | 132 | 127
| %IMP | -22% | -130% | -100% | -50% | -71% | -12% | 59% | 56% | 54% | 68%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
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| AVNN | -72 | -79 | -33 | -52 | -84 | -67 | 14 | 1 | 1 | -2
| AVNO | -63 | -76 | -30 | -42 | -73 | -56 | 7 | -1 | 0 | -3
| %IMP | 12% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 50% | 0% | 100% | -50%
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| GFNO | 8 | -26 | 23 | 9 | -27 | -13 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 6
| GFDL | -23 | -33 | 22 | 10 | -22 | -28 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6
| %imp | -188% | -27% | -4% | -11% | 19% | --115% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 0%
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08/0245 UTC 19.9N 77.6W Punta del Ingles, Cuba, 8.75 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 19.88 | 76.96 | 6.5 | 66.9 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.87 | 77.01 | 11.0 | 61.7 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | 0% | 8%
|
| GFNO | 19.93 | 77.22 | 9.0 | 39.8 | Near Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.85 | 76.93 | 11.5 | 70.2 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | -1000% | -76%
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08/1845 UTC 22.1N 80.7W just west of Punta Mangles Altos, Cuba, 24.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.59 | 78.84 | 16.0 | 199.0 | Gaspar, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| AVNO | 20.72 | 77.73 | 14.5 | 343.3 | Santa Cruz del Sur, Camaguey, Cuba
| %IMP | -17% | -73%
|
| GFNO | 22.20 | 80.40 | 24.0 | 32.8 | Cienfuegos, Cienfuegos, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.58 | 78.89 | 20.5 | 195.4 | Gaspar, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| %IMP | -467% | -496%
|
10/1930 UTC 30.4N 87.1W Santa Rosa Island, FL, 73.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.42 | 89.09 | 85.5 | 190.7 | Gulfport, MS
| AVNO | 30.42 | 87.45 | 79.5 | 33.7 | Pensacola, FL
| %IMP | 50% | 82%
|
| GFNO | 30.58 | 88.10 | 75.0 | 97.8 | Mobile, AL
| GFDL | 30.39 | 87.17 | 71.0 | 6.8 | Pensacola, FL
| %IMP | -67% | 93%
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