Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 31 | 126 | 100 | 70 | 51 | 83 | 173 | 114 | 212 | 269
| AVNO | 69 | 224 | 150 | 167 | 170 | 213 | 200 | 214 | 270 | 380
| %IMP | -123% | -78% | -50% | -139% | -233% | -157% | -16% | -88% | -27% | -41%
|
| GFNO | 24 | 67 | 56 | 59 | 89 | 89 | 38 | 58 | 81 | 148
| GFDL | 74 | 146 | 144 | 200 | 243 | 301 | 282 | 352 | 407 | 442
| %IMP | -208% | -118% | -157% | -239% | -173% | -238% | -642% | -507% | -402% | -199%
|
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -79 | -77 | -60 | -36 | -69 | -70 | 4 | -1 | -3 | -3
| AVNO | -80 | -77 | -52 | -31 | -60 | -66 | -21 | -10 | -9 | -4
| %IMP | -1% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 6% | -425% | -900% | -200% | -33%
|
| GFNO | -19 | -31 | -7 | 13 | -11 | -25 | 7 | -5 | 1 | -1
| GFDL | -21 | -41 | -9 | 19 | -20 | -46 | -10 | -6 | 0 | 2
| %imp | -11% | -32% | -29% | -46% | -81% | -76% | -43% | -20% | 100% | -100%
|
| |
08/0245 UTC 19.9N 77.6W Punta del Ingles, Cuba, 14.75 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 19.80 | 77.68 | 14.5 | 13.9 | Near Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 20.04 | 77.60 | 12.5 | 15.6 | Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | -800% | -12%
|
| GFNO | 19.84 | 77.69 | 14.0 | 11.5 | Near Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.90 | 77.30 | 11.5 | 31.3 | Niquero, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | -333% | -172%
|
|
08/1845 UTC 22.1N 80.7W just west of Punta Mangles Altos, Cuba, 30.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.60 | 78.84 | 22.0 | 199.7 | Colorado, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| AVNO | 21.57 | 78.65 | 18.0 | 219.5 | Ciego Corojo, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| %IMP | -46% | -10%
|
| GFNO | 21.73 | 79.23 | 22.0 | 157.0 | Near Sancti Spiritus, Sancti Spiritus, Cuba
| GFDL | 21.61 | 79.07 | 20.5 | 176.7 | Near Ciego de Avila, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| %IMP | -17% | -13%
|
10/1930 UTC 30.4N 87.1W Santa Rosa Island, FL, 79.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.34 | 87.43 | 85.5 | 32.3 | Pensacola, FL
| AVNO | 29.79 | 84.77 | 71.5 | 234.0 | Apalachicola, FL
| %IMP | -33% | -624%
|
| GFNO | 30.54 | 87.08 | 78.0 | 15.8 | Pensacola, FL
| GFDL | 29.70 | 84.74 | 66.5 | 239.9 | Apalachicola, FL
| %IMP | -833% | -1418%
| |