Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 94 | 105 | 188 | 129 | 83 | 104 | 187 | 282 | 271 | 379
| AVNO | 126 | 111 | 144 | 122 | 100 | 89 | 78 | 66 | 93 | 38
| %IMP | -34% | -6% | 23% | 5% | -20% | 14% | 58% | 77% | 66% | 90%
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| GFNO | 35 | 148 | 153 | 151 | 169 | 200 | 211 | 171 | 167 | 145
| GFDL | 35 | 166 | 126 | 133 | 202 | 249 | 238 | 237 | 266 | 193
| %IMP | 0% | -12% | 18% | 12% | -20% | -25% | -13% | -39% | -59% | -33%
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
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| AVNN | -65 | -73 | -81 | -36 | -54 | -87 | -72 | 8 | 0 | 1
| AVNO | -59 | -52 | -75 | -7 | -23 | -54 | -46 | -5 | -4 | 0
| %IMP | 9% | 29% | 7% | 81% | 57% | 38% | 36% | 38% | und% | 100%
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| GFNO | -8 | -33 | -42 | 13 | 5 | -31 | -56 | -10 | 2 | 2
| GFDL | -9 | -28 | -59 | -2 | -6 | -38 | -62 | -5 | 1 | 4
| %imp | -13% | 15% | -40% | 85% | -20% | -23% | -11% | 50% | 50% | -100%
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08/0245 UTC 19.9N 77.6W Punta del Ingles, Cuba, 20.75 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 19.89 | 77.15 | 16.0 | 47.0 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| AVNO | 19.91 | 76.66 | 14.0 | 98.2 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | -42% | -33%
|
| GFNO | 19.90 | 77.12 | 16.5 | 50.1 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| GFDL | 19.89 | 76.75 | 16.0 | 88.8 | Near Bartolome Maso, Granma, Cuba
| %IMP | -12% | -77%
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08/1845 UTC 22.1N 80.7W just west of Punta Mangles Altos, Cuba, 36.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 21.67 | 79.11 | 26.0 | 170.7 | Near Sancti Spiritus, Sancti Spiritus, Cuba
| AVNO | 21.51 | 78.67 | 25.5 | 219.4 | Ciego Corojo, Ciego de Avila, Cuba
| %IMP | -5% | -29%
|
| GFNO | 20.74 | 77.86 | 20.0 | 330.3 | Santa Cruz del Sur, Camaguey, Cuba
| GFDL | 20.56 | 77.24 | 18.5 | 396.9 | Near Jobabo, Las Tunas, Cuba
| %IMP | -9% | -20%
|
10/1930 UTC 30.4N 87.1W Santa Rosa Island, FL, 85.5 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 30.30 | 89.11 | 97.0 | 193.0 | Gulfport, MS
| AVNO | 30.39 | 86.72 | 83.0 | 36.4 | Fort Walton Beach, FL
| %IMP | 78% | 71%
|
| GFNO | 30.41 | 86.29 | 78.0 | 77.6 | Destin, FL
| GFDL | 29.72 | 85.07 | 74.0 | 209.3 | Apalachicola, FL
| %IMP | -53% | -170%
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