Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
24 August 1999 0000 UTC
DENNIS.


QuickTime movie of DLM wind model forecasts
QuickTime movie of DLM wind data increments


Figure 1. NCEP 850 - 200 hPa mean wind analysis for 24 August 1999 0000 UTC (Tropical Depression Dennis).

Figure 2. Ensemble perturbation variance at the nominal sampling time 24 August 1999 0000 UTC from the previous day NCEP ensemble forecast. The green circles represent the dropwindsonde locations.

Figure 3. Initial condition differences in the 850 - 200 hPa mean wind between the no and all dropwindsonde cases for 24 August 1999 0000 UTC.The green circles represent the dropwindsonde locations.

Figure 4. 12-h forecast differences in the 850 - 200 hPa mean wind between the no and all dropwindsonde cases for 24 August 1999 0000 UTC.