Effects of Synoptic Surveillance on model forecasts for
12 July 2003 0600 UTC
Claudette.


Quicktime movie of GFS DLM wind model forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data increment


TRACK AND INTENSITY PERFORMANCE

TRACK (km)
MODEL12 h24 h36 h48 h60 h72 h84 h96 h108 h120 h
GFSNNo forecast available
GFSONo forecast available
%IMP
GFNONo forecast available
GFDLNo forecast available
%IMP
INTENSITY (kt)
MODEL12 h24 h36 h48 h60 h72 h84 h96 h108 h120 h
GFSNNo forecast available
GFSONo forecast available
%IMP
GFNONo forecast available
GFDLNo forecast available
%IMP
SHNONo forecast available
SHIPNo forecast available
%IMP
DSNONo forecast available
DSHPNo forecast available
%IMP

Landfall forecasts

15/1530 UTC 28.3N 96.2W Matagorda Island, TX 81.5 h into the forecast
MODELLATLONTIMEERRORLOCATION
GFSNNo forecast available
GFSONo forecast available
%IMP
GFNONo forecast available
GFDLNo forecast available
%IMP

Figure 1. NCEP 850 - 200 hPa mean wind analysis for 12 July 2003 0600 UTC (Tropical Storm Claudette).

Figure 2. Track forecasts for the no dropwindsonde (NO or NN) and the all dropwindsonde (AL) runs for the GFS and GFDL models initialized on 12 July 2003 0600 UTC.