Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 38 | 113 | 157 | 264 | 355 | |
| AVNO | 69 | 192 | 296 | 462 | 595 | |
| %IMP | -82% | -70% | -89% | -75% | -68% | |
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| GFNO | 46 | 121 | 246 | 372 | 542 | |
| GFDL | 35 | 132 | 259 | 406 | 614 |
| %IMP | 24% | -9% | -5% | -9% -13% | |
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -58 | -43 | -19 | -12 | -6 | |
| AVNO | -48 | -22 | -18 | -6 | -7 | |
| %IMP | 17% | 49% | 185 | 50% | -16% | |
|
| GFNO | -1 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 29 | |
| GFDL | 2 | 29 | 31 | 23 | 24 | |
| %IMP | -100% | -16% | -29% | 0% | 17% | |
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13/0430 UTC 22.7N 82.6W Near Playa del Cajio, Cuba 4.5 h into the forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 22.74 | 82.75 | 4.0 | 16.0 | Artemisa, La Habana, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.54 | 82.95 | 5.5 | 40.1 | San Cristobal, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | -100% | -141%
|
| GFNO | 22.65 | 82.76 | 6.0 | 17.3 | Artemisa, La Habana, Cuba
| GFDL | 22.61 | 82.80 | 5.5 | 22.8 | Candelaria, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | 33% | -32%
|
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13/1945 UTC 26.6N 82.2W Near Cayo Costa, FL 19.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 27.95 | 82.66 | 24.5 | 156.7 | St. Petersburg, FL
| AVNO | 27.88 | 82.94 | 27.0 | 159.9 | Clearwater Beach, FL
| %IMP | -53% | -2%
|
| GFNO | 26.92 | 82.35 | 23.0 | 38.5 | Port Charlotte, FL
| GFDL | 27.58 | 82.56 | 25.0 | 114.6 | Bradenton, FL
| %IMP | -62% | -198%
|
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13/2045 UTC 26.9N 82.1W Near Punta Gorda, FL 20.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 27.95 | 82.66 | 24.5 | 232.1 | St. Petersburg, FL
| AVNO | 28.95 | 82.71 | 30.5 | 235.5 | Inglis, FL
| %IMP | -160% | -1%
|
| GFNO | 26.92 | 82.35 | 23.0 | 24.9 | Port Charlotte, FL
| GFDL | 27.58 | 82.56 | 25.0 | 88.2 | Bradenton, FL
| %IMP | -89% | -254%
|
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14/1400 UTC 33.0N 79.4W Near Cape Romain, SC 38.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecst
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | 31.20 | 81.30 | 37.5 | 268.3 | St. Simons Island, GA
| %IMP | |
|
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14/1600 UTC 33.8N 78.7W Near North Myrtle Beach, SC 40.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | 32.06 | 80.90 | 40.0 | 281.9 | Savannah, GA
| %IMP | |
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