Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 102 | 120 | 231 | 286 | 328 | |
| AVNO | 41 | 55 | 164 | 236 | 267 | |
| %IMP | 60% | 54% | 29% | 17% | 19% | |
|
| GFNO | 56 | 128 | 265 | 450 | 635 | |
| GFDL | 46 | 90 | 244 | 459 | 656 |
| %IMP | 18% | 30% | 8% | -2% | -3% | |
|
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -75 | -87 | -44 | -21 | -6 | |
| AVNO | -66 | -75 | -36 | -19 | -6 | |
| %IMP | 12% | 14% | 18% | 10% | 0% | |
|
| GFNO | -15 | -16 | 11 | 25 | 15 | |
| GFDL | -4 | -13 | 5 | 20 | 18 | |
| %IMP | 73% | 19% | 55% | 20% | -20% | |
|
| |
13/0430 UTC 22.7N 82.6W Near Playa del Cajio, Cuba 10.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 22.55 | 82.91 | 14.0 | 35.9 | San Cristobal, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.57 | 82.90 | 10.0 | 34.0 | San Cristobal, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | 86% | 5%
|
| GFNO | 22.70 | 82.78 | 13.0 | 18.4 | Artemisa, La Habana, Cuba
| GFDL | 22.71 | 82.73 | 12.5 | 13.3 | Las Canas, La Habana, Cuba
| %IMP | 20% | 28%
|
|
13/1945 UTC 26.6N 82.2W Near Cayo Costa, FL 25.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 27.93 | 83.10 | 32.5 | 172.4 | Clearwater Beach, FL
| AVNO | 27.70 | 82.64 | 30.5 | 129.7 | St. Petersburg, FL
| %IMP | 30% | 25%
|
| GFNO | 27.77 | 82.73 | 34.0 | 140.1 | St. Petersburg, FL
| GFDL | 27.56 | 82.61 | 32.5 | 114.1 | Anna Maria Island, FL
| %IMP | 19% | 19%
|
|
13/2045 UTC 26.9N 82.1W Near Punta Gorda, FL 26.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.10 | 82.90 | 36.0 | 256.7 | Cedar Key, FL
| AVNO | 27.70 | 82.64 | 30.5 | 103.6 | St. Petersburg, FL
| %IMP | 59% | 60%
|
| GFNO | 28.43 | 82.57 | 36.5 | 176.2 | Hernando Beach, FL
| GFDL | 27.56 | 82.61 | 32.5 | 89.0 | Anna Maria Island, FL
| %IMP | 41% | 49%
|
|
14/1400 UTC 33.0N 79.4W Near Cape Romain, SC 44.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
|
14/1600 UTC 33.8N 78.7W Near North Myrtle Beach, SC 46.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast |
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
| |