Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 189 | 289 | 519 | 844 | 1234 | 1620 |
| AVNO | 46 | 67 | 214 | 368 | 562 | 655 |
| %IMP | 76% | 77% | 59% | 56% | 54% | 60% |
|
| GFNO | 156 | 223 | 476 | 799 | 1200 | 1570 |
| GFDL | 102 | 171 | 374 | 659 | 996 | 1331
| %IMP | 35% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 15% |
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -55 | -60 | -38 | -28 | 7 | -3 |
| AVNO | -44 | -47 | -25 | -18 | -3 | -4 |
| %IMP | 20% | 22% | 34% | 36% | 57% | -33% |
|
| GFNO | 11 | 16 | 24 | 46 | 71 | 24 |
| GFDL | 17 | 15 | 29 | 45 | 38 | 11 |
| %IMP | -55% | 6% | -21% | 2% | 46% | 54% |
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13/0430 UTC 22.7N 82.6W Near Playa del Cajio, Cuba 16.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 22.15 | 83.78 | 25.5 | 135.7 | Galafre, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.63 | 82.92 | 18.0 | 33.7 | San Cristobal, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | 83% | 75%
|
| GFNO | 22.23 | 83.47 | 22.5 | 103.5 | Near Pinar del Rio, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 22.20 | 83.42 | 19.5 | 100.9 | Near Pinar del Rio, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | 50% | 3%
|
|
13/1945 UTC 26.6N 82.2W Near Cayo Costa, FL 31.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.77 | 84.91 | 64.5 | 441.0 | Apalachicola, FL
| AVNO | 29.09 | 82.84 | 44.5 | 370.8 | Port Inglis, FL
| %IMP | 61% | 16%
|
| GFNO | 29.80 | 84.69 | 63.5 | 431.1 | Carabelle Beach, FL
| GFDL | 29.99 | 83.87 | 57.0 | 410.5 | Perry, FL
| %IMP | 20% | 5%
|
|
13/2045 UTC 26.9N 82.1W Near Punta Gorda, FL 32.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.77 | 84.91 | 64.5 | 420.9 | Apalachicola, FL
| AVNO | 29.09 | 82.84 | 44.5 | 340.0 | Port Inglis, FL
| %IMP | 63% | 19%
|
| GFNO | 29.80 | 84.69 | 63.5 | 409.8 | Carabelle Beach, FL
| GFDL | 29.99 | 83.87 | 57.0 | 384.4 | Perry, FL
| %IMP | 21% | 6%
|
|
14/1400 UTC 33.0N 79.4W Near Cape Romain, SC 50.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
|
14/1600 UTC 33.8N 78.7W Near North Myrtle Beach, SC 52.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast |
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
| |