Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data
increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN | 66 | 93 | 215 | 357 | 490 | 322 |
| AVNO | 80 | 144 | 286 | 415 | 517 | 468 |
| %IMP | -21% | -55% | -31% | 16% | -6% | -45% |
|
| GFNO | 22 | 45 | 83 | 181 | 350 | 518 |
| GFDL | 24 | 23 | 23 | 97 | 217 | 352
| %IMP | 9% | 49% | 72% | 46% | 38% | 32% | |
| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -59 | -75 | -105 | -43 | -26 | -11 |
| AVNO | -55 | -70 | -92 | -28 | -26 | -11 |
| %IMP | 7% | 7% | 12% | 35% | 0% | 0% |
|
| GFNO | 8 | 1 | -14 | -6 | 15 | 8 |
| GFDL | 13 | -1 | -18 | 13 | 15 | 35 |
| %IMP | -63% | 0% | -29% | -117% | 0% | -338% |
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13/0430 UTC 22.7N 82.6W Near Playa del Cajio, Cuba 22.5 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 22.58 | 82.94 | 20.0 | 37.4 | San Cristobal, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | 22.63 | 82.43 | 18.0 | 19.1 | Batabano, La Habana, Cuba
| %IMP | -80% | 49%
|
| GFNO | 22.58 | 82.86 | 23.5 | 29.8 | Candelaria, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 22.75 | 82.71 | 22.5 | 12.6 | Artemisa, La Habana, Cuba
| %IMP | 100% | 58%
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13/1945 UTC 26.6N 82.2W Near Cayo Costa, FL 37.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 28.41 | 82.69 | 37.0 | 206.8 | Hernando Beach, FL
| AVNO | 26.86 | 82.17 | 31.5 | 29.0 | Boca Grande, FL
| %IMP | -733% | 86%
|
| GFNO | 27.94 | 82.85 | 43.0 | 162.5 | Clearwater Beach, FL
| GFDL | 27.11 | 82.44 | 39.0 | 61.5 | Venice, FL
| %IMP | 72% | 62%
|
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13/2045 UTC 26.9N 82.1W Near Punta Gorda, FL 38.75 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 28.41 | 82.69 | 37.0 | 177.5 | Hernando Beach, FL
| AVNO | 26.86 | 82.17 | 31.5 | 8.2 | Boca Grande, FL
| %IMP | -314% | 95%
|
| GFNO | 28.82 | 82.64 | 46.0 | 213.4 | Steinhatchee, FL
| GFDL | 27.75 | 82.32 | 41.0 | 96.9 | Homosassa, FL
| %IMP | 61% | 55%
|
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14/1400 UTC 33.0N 79.4W Near Cape Romain, SC 56.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast
| AVNO | 32.58 | 80.25 | 45.5 | 92.1 | Edisto Beach, SC
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | 31.54 | 81.30 | 53.0 | 241.2 | Sapelo Island, GA
| %IMP | |
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14/1600 UTC 33.8N 78.7W Near North Myrtle Beach, SC 58.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | No landfall forecast |
| AVNO | 32.58 | 80.25 | 45.5 | 197.8 | Edisto Beach, SC
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | No landfall forecast
| GFDL | 31.54 | 81.30 | 53.0 | 349.5 | Sapelo Island, GA
| %IMP | |
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