Figure 5

Figure5
Figure 5 Perturbation size at the nominal sampling time 22 August 1998 0000 UTC, from the previous day MRF ensemble forecast. The large hurricane symbol is the location of Tropical Storm Bonnie at the nominal time. The small hurricane symbols are the locations of Bonnie every 12 h before and after the nominal time. The black dots represent the locations of dropwindsonde observations.