Quicktime movie of AVN DLM wind model
forecast
Quicktime movie of DLM wind data increment
TRACK (km) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
| AVNN 116 | 158 | 185 | 240 | 411 | 520 | 411 | | |
| AVNO | 101 | 78 | 56 | 206 | 560 | 899 | 1097 | | |
| %IMP | 13% | 51% | 70% | 14% | -36% | -73% | -167% | | |
|
| GFNO | 123 | 136 | 156 | 223 | 269 | 242 | 88 | 111 | |
| GFDL | 67 | 45 | 86 | 135 | 151 | 131 | 140 | 155 | |
| %IMP | 46% | 67% | 45% | 39% | 44% | 46% | -59% | -40% | |
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| INTENSITY (kt)
| MODEL | 12 h | 24 h | 36 h | 48 h | 60 h | 72 h | 84 h | 96 h | 108 h | 120 h
|
| AVNN | -23 | -33 | -28 | -6 | -11 | -11 | -12 | | |
| AVNO | -23 | -30 | -28 | -13 | -9 | -9 | -12 | | |
| %IMP | 0% | 9% | 6% | -117% | 18% | 18% | 0% | | |
|
| GFNO | -18 | -16 | -11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 45 | |
| GFDL | -3 | -16 | -13 | -1 | -1 | -3 | 24 | 27 | |
| %IMP | 83% | 0% | -18% | und% | 67% | 0% | 14% | 40% | |
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10/0800 UTC 21.8N 84.5W Near Cabo Corrientes, western Cuba 2.0 h into the forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
| AVNN | 21.92 | 84.72 | 2.0 | 26.3 | Near La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| AVNO | No landfall forecast
| %IMP | |
|
| GFNO | 22.04 | 84.37 | 4.5 | 29.8 | La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| GFDL | 22.43 | 84.34 | 4.5 | 71.9 | La Fe, Pinar del Rio, Cuba
| %IMP | 0% | -141%
|
|
11/1900 UTC 30.3N 87.5W Near and just west of Pensacola 37.0 h into the forecast
| MODEL | LAT | LON | TIME | ERROR | LOCATION
|
| AVNN | 29.77 | 88.86 | 42.0 | 143.4 | Chandeleur Islands, LA
| AVNO | 30.24 | 87.88 | 40.0 | 37.1 | Gulf Shores, AL
| %IMP | 60% | 74%
|
| GFNO | 30.08 | 89.20 | 40.0 | 165.1 | Gulfside, MS
| GFDL | 30.38 | 88.57 | 37.5 | 103.0 | Pascagoula, MS
| %IMP | 83% | 38%
| |