Tables



Table 1
Real time forecasts and results for the Atlantic tropical cyclone season during the years 1984-1993.
YearEarly December Early June Early August Observed
ForecastForecastForecast
Named Storms
1944 to 1993 Mean = 9.3
1984 - 10 10 12
1985 - 11 10 11
1986 - 8 7 6
1987 - 8 7 7
1988 - 11 11 12
1989 - 7 9 11
1990 - 11 11 14
1991 - 8 7 8
1992 8 8 8 6
1993 11 11 10 8
Hurricanes
1944 to 1993 Mean = 5.7
1984 - 7 7 5
1985 - 8 7 7
1986 - 4 4 4
1987 - 5 4 3
1988 - 7 7 5
1989 - 4 4 7
1990 - 7 6 8
1991 - 4 3 4
1992 4 4 4 4
1993 6 7 6 4
Intense Hurricanes
1944 to 1993 Mean = 2.2
1990 - 3 2 1
1991 - 1 0 2
1992 1 1 1 1
1993 3 2 2 1



Table 2
Various predictive groups utilized in the 1 December, 1 June, and 1 August forecasts of Atlantic seasonal tropical activity. The numbers in parenthesis indicate the amount of predictors used in each group.
1 December 1 June 1 August
QBO (3) QBO (3) QBO (3)
African rainfall (2) African rainfall (2) African rainfall (2)
Forecast ENSO conditions (4) Current ENSO conditions (4) Current ENSO conditions (2)
Caribbean pressures and 200mb winds (2) Caribbean pressures and 200mb winds (2)
African temperature and pressure gradients (2)