Nino 3.4 - Independent ENSO-CLIPER forecasts

Nino 3.4
Independent ENSO-CLIPER forecasts
(°C anomalies for a 1961-90 base period
for 0 through 7 seasons lead time)
Target Period	OBS (°C)	0 lead	1 lead	2 lead	3 lead	4 lead	5 lead	6 lead	7 lead
JFM 1993	0.3	0.1
FMA 1993	0.6	0.1
MAM 1993	0.9	0.2
AMJ 1993	1.0	0.4	0.0
MJJ 1993	0.9	0.7	0.2
JJA 1993	0.5	0.9	0.3
JAS 1993	0.4	1.2	0.7	-0.2
ASO 1993	0.3	0.4	1.0	-0.5
SON 1993	0.4	0.6	1.4	0.4
OND 1993	0.4	0.3	1.4	1.1	-0.4
NDJ 1993	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.4	0.4
DJF 1993	0.1	0.3	0.3	1.5	0.4
JFM 1994	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	0.8	-0.2
FMA 1994	0.1	-0.2	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.3
MAM 1994	0.2	-0.2	0.0	0.5	0.7	-0.3
AMJ 1994	0.4	0.0	-0.1	-0.1	0.2	0.0	0.1
MJJ 1994	0.4	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3
JJA 1994	0.5	0.4	-0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5
JAS 1994	0.5	0.8	0.1	-0.2	-0.5	-0.5	0.3	0.6
ASO 1994	0.7	0.2	0.0	-0.5	-0.8	-0.1	0.1	0.1
SON 1994	0.9	0.4	0.4	-0.4	-0.7	-0.4	-0.3	0.8
OND 1994	1.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	-0.3	-0.8	-0.8	0.5	0.1
NDJ 1994	1.3	0.8	0.8	-0.3	-0.4	-0.6	-0.4	-0.6	0.3
DJF 1994	1.1	1.1	0.3	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.3	-0.3	0.8
JFM 1995	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.4	0.2	-0.2	-0.6	-0.4	0.2
FMA 1995	0.5	0.4	0.5	0.5	-0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.2	-0.3
MAM 1995	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.1	-0.3	-0.2	0.0	-0.1
AMJ 1995	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0	-0.2	-0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1
MJJ 1995	0.0	0.2	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.1
JJA 1995	-0.1	-0.1	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.4
JAS 1995	-0.3	0.0	-0.2	0.1	-0.3	-0.4	0.4	0.2	0.7
ASO 1995	-0.6	-0.2	0.0	0.2	-0.8	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.1
SON 1995	-0.8	-0.4	-0.1	0.5	-0.5	-0.4	0.2	0.6	0.4
OND 1995	-0.9	-0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.7	-0.8	0.5	0.1
NDJ 1995	-0.8	-1.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	-0.4	-0.5	0.0	0.4
DJF 1995	-0.8	-0.8	-0.1	-0.1	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.2	0.7
JFM 1996	-0.7	-0.6	-0.5	-0.1	0.1	0.1	-0.5	0.0	0.6
FMA 1996	-0.5	-0.4	-0.5	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2	-0.3	0.3
MAM 1996	-0.3	-0.5	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.3	-0.1	0.2	0.2
AMJ 1996	-0.2	-0.2	-0.2	-0.2	-0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1
MJJ 1996	-0.1	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1
JJA 1996	0.0	-0.2	0.1	-0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	-0.2
JAS 1996	-0.1	-0.4	0.2	0.0	-0.4	-0.2	-0.2	0.1	0.6
ASO 1996	-0.2	-0.2	-0.2	0.0	-0.6	-0.1	0.0	0.3	0.1
SON 1996	-0.3	-0.2	0.2	0.1	-0.5	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3
OND 1996	-0.3	-0.2	-0.3	0.6	0.0	-0.5	-0.3	-0.3	0.1
NDJ 1996	-0.4	-0.4	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-0.2	-0.1	0.0	0.1
DJF 1996	-0.4	-0.2	-0.1	-0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3
JFM 1997	-0.3	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	0.5	0.1	-0.4	-0.1	-0.3
FMA 1997	0.1	-0.2	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
MAM 1997	0.5	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	-0.2	0.1	0.2	0.2
AMJ 1997	1.0	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1
MJJ 1997	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1
JJA 1997	1.9	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.3
JAS 1997	2.2	1.7	0.9	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.6	-0.1
ASO 1997	2.4	2.3	1.2	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.0	0.1
SON 1997	2.6	2.1	2.0	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.8
OND 1997	2.6	2.2	2.8	2.4	0.8	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.1
NDJ 1997	2.8	2.6	3.1	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.2
DJF 1997	2.5	2.2	2.8	2.5	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.7	0.8
JFM 1998	2.1	1.8	1.5	2.0	1.3	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.3
FMA 1998	1.6	1.3	1.4	1.6	0.8	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2
MAM 1998	1.1	1.2	0.8	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.4
AMJ 1998	0.4	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1
MJJ 1998	-0.3	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.4	-0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1
JJA 1998	-1.0	-0.2	0.0	-0.5	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.2
JAS 1998	-1.1	-0.6	-0.1	-0.9	-0.6	-0.5	0.3	0.1	0.2
ASO 1998	-1.1	-1.2	-0.3	-0.5	-0.2	-0.2	0.0	0.1	0.0
SON 1998	-1.1	-1.8	-1.2	-0.1	-0.8	-0.5	-0.4	0.5	0.2
OND 1998	-1.4	-1.7	-1.7	-0.8	-1.7	-1.0	-0.9	0.4	0.1
NDJ 1998	-1.5	-1.1	-2.0	-0.8	-1.3	-0.6	-0.2	-0.1	0.6
DJF 1998	-1.5	-1.1	-1.6	-0.9	-0.1	-1.5	-0.8	-0.3	0.6
JFM 1999	-1.2	-1.0	-1.1	-1.1	-0.5	-1.4	-0.7	-0.7	-0.1
FMA 1999	-0.9	-0.7	-0.5	-1.0	-0.4	-0.9	-0.4	-0.4	-0.2
MAM 1999	-0.7	-0.9	-0.3	-0.6	-0.4	-0.7	-0.8	-0.4	-0.2
AMJ 1999	-0.8	-0.5	-0.5	-0.6	-0.5	-0.8	-0.6	-0.4	0.2
MJJ 1999	-0.7	-0.5	-0.6	0.0	-0.2	-1.0	-0.5	0.2	0.2
JJA 1999	-0.9	-0.4	-0.5	0.0	0.1	0.1	-0.9	-0.7	-0.1
JAS 1999	-0.9	-0.2	-0.1	0.0	-0.4	0.0	-0.7	-0.5	-0.6
ASO 1999	-0.9	-0.7	-0.6	-0.3	0.3	0.2	-0.4	0.3	0.1
SON 1999	-1.0	-0.8	-0.5	-0.9	0.1	0.5	-0.4	-1.6	-1.1
OND 1999	-1.3	-0.7	-0.7	-0.6	0.0	-0.3	0.0	-1.5	0.2
NDJ 1999	-1.6	-1.0	-0.7	-0.9	-1.0	0.6	0.0	-0.5	-1.2
DJF 1999	-1.6	-0.9	-0.9	-0.6	-0.9	0.6	0.5	-0.5	-1.7
JFM 2000	-1.4	-1.0	-0.4	-0.5	-0.4	0.1	-0.2	0.2	-1.0
FMA 2000	-1.0	-1.0	-0.4	-0.3	-0.4	-0.3	-0.4	0.4	0.1
MAM 2000	-0.7	-0.7	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	-0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0
AMJ 2000	-0.5	-0.4	-0.2	-0.1	-0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2
MJJ 2000	-0.4	-0.4	-0.3	0.0	-0.1	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2
JJA 2000	-0.3	-0.4	-0.1	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2
JAS 2000	-0.3	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.3
ASO 2000		-0.4	-0.3	0.1	-0.3	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.1
SON 2000		-0.1	-0.4	-0.4	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.3
OND 2000			-0.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1
NDJ 2000			-0.5	-0.1	-0.1	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.1
DJF 2000			-0.6	0.0	-0.3	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.4
JFM 2001				0.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.8	0.3
FMA 2001				-0.2	0.0	-0.1	0.6	0.2	0.5
MAM 2001				0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.3
AMJ 2001					-0.1	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1
MJJ 2001					-0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1
JJA 2001					0.1	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.4
JAS 2001						0.2	0.3	0.1	0.3
ASO 2001						0.2	0.6	0.3	0.0
SON 2001						0.1	0.8	0.8	0.4
OND 2001							0.4	0.6	0.0
NDJ 2001							0.2	0.6	0.8
DJF 2001							0.5	1.1	1.0
JFM 2002								0.6	0.4
FMA 2002								0.0	0.2
MAM 2002								0.2	0.5
AMJ 2002									0.1
MJJ 2002									0.1
JJA 2002									0.0

Return to ENSO-CLIPER