Nino 3
Independent ENSO-CLIPER forecasts
(°C anomalies for a 1961-90 base period
for 0 through 7 seasons lead time)
Target
Period 		OBS
(°C) 		0
lead 		1
lead 		2
lead 		3
lead 		4
lead 		5
lead 		6
lead 		7
lead
JFM 930.3-0.1
FMA 930.70.0
MAM 931.10.2
AMJ 931.20.60.2
MJJ 930.90.70.2
JJA 930.41.00.4
JAS 930.21.10.6-0.7
ASO 930.30.20.8-0.8
SON 930.30.41.30.3
OND 930.30.61.70.7-0.5
NDJ 930.20.30.91.2-0.4
DJF 930.10.20.31.40.4
JFM 940.00.00.21.00.3-0.3
FMA 94-0.2-0.20.20.40.40.2
MAM 940.0-0.4-0.10.00.50.0
AMJ 940.1-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.30.00.0
MJJ 940.1-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.20.1
JJA 94-0.10.0-0.3-0.6-0.2-0.30.1
JAS 94-0.10.6-0.2-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.10.0
ASO 940.2-0.5-0.4-1.2-0.8-0.20.00.1
SON 940.60.20.4-0.5-1.0-0.5-0.50.0
OND 940.90.60.9-0.1-0.3-0.8-0.60.40.0
NDJ 941.00.60.90.0-0.7-0.5-0.40.10.1
DJF 940.80.80.50.5-0.4-0.7-0.1-0.20.1
JFM 950.50.80.20.60.0-0.2-0.50.00.3
FMA 950.20.20.30.4-0.10.00.10.20.2
MAM 95-0.20.30.10.10.40.1-0.10.10.1
AMJ 95-0.2-0.10.4-0.4-0.40.00.00.10.1
MJJ 95-0.20.20.8-0.1-0.30.20.20.10.1
JJA 95-0.2-0.70.5-0.10.4-0.30.20.30.1
JAS 95-0.4-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.60.20.00.0
ASO 95-0.6-0.2-0.7-0.2-0.80.00.50.00.0
SON 95-0.8-0.5-0.20.4-0.5-0.30.00.20.3
OND 95-0.8-0.5-0.10.2-0.1-0.7-0.30.40.0
NDJ 95-0.7-0.9-0.10.00.6-0.50.30.50.0
DJF 95-0.6-0.7-0.1-0.10.5-0.50.50.20.3
JFM 96-0.4-0.5-0.40.10.00.0-0.40.00.5
FMA 96-0.4-0.2-0.30.10.20.50.10.40.5
MAM 96-0.4-0.30.00.1-0.10.10.00.10.1
AMJ 96-0.40.00.2-0.2-0.20.30.40.10.1
MJJ 96-0.3-0.10.10.00.00.10.00.10.1
JJA 96-0.2-0.40.1-0.10.50.0-0.10.20.1
JAS 96-0.2-0.40.1-0.3-0.5-0.3-0.10.00.1
ASO 96-0.3-0.2-0.6-0.3-0.5-0.20.20.00.1
SON 96-0.4-0.60.10.1-0.60.10.0-0.20.2
OND 96-0.5-0.5-0.50.10.0-0.5-0.5-0.40.1
NDJ 96-0.7-0.5-0.2-0.30.20.00.00.00.0
DJF 96-0.7-0.4-0.30.20.2-0.40.30.1-0.1
JFM 97-0.3-0.6-0.20.20.30.0-0.3-0.5-0.4
FMA 970.0-0.2-0.10.00.10.20.10.0-0.1
MAM 970.7-0.20.00.1-0.10.10.00.10.1
AMJ 971.30.9-0.10.20.40.00.00.10.1
MJJ 972.00.50.30.20.20.20.00.00.1
JJA 972.61.40.80.40.00.30.30.60.1
JAS 973.02.21.10.10.40.40.10.00.0
ASO 973.22.60.90.50.30.50.50.10.0
SON 973.42.82.00.80.40.30.30.30.7
OND 973.72.92.91.50.50.50.20.40.0
NDJ 973.63.83.31.50.80.40.61.00.1
DJF 973.33.12.92.10.80.60.50.50.5
JFM 982.82.51.81.80.80.40.4-0.10.3
FMA 982.21.71.61.40.10.20.10.30.4
MAM 981.81.61.00.10.30.10.20.00.0
AMJ 981.01.30.1-0.30.1-0.10.10.00.0
MJJ 980.31.30.0-0.3-0.4-0.10.30.00.0
JJA 98-0.20.5-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.30.20.10.1
JAS 98-0.3-0.60.5-0.6-1.0-0.90.00.00.0
ASO 98-0.4-0.21.00.00.4-0.4-0.20.20.0
SON 98-0.6-0.6-1.2-0.1-0.3-0.7-0.20.20.1
OND 98-0.8-0.8-1.2-0.4-1.9-1.2-0.30.20.0
NDJ 98-1.0-0.7-1.8-0.4-1.2-0.9-0.4-0.30.2
DJF 98-1.0-0.5-1.7-1.2-0.1-1.0-1.00.00.3
JFM 99-0.70.0-1.1-1.1-0.4-1.3-0.8-0.1-0.1
FMA 99-0.5-0.5-0.2-0.8-0.2-0.70.1-0.30.0
MAM 99-0.4-0.60.10.1-0.30.10.10.10.1
AMJ 99-0.5-0.30.0-0.5-0.4-1.0-0.60.10.1
MJJ 99-0.5-0.2-1.00.20.4-0.7-0.60.10.1
JJA 99-0.70.1-0.80.4-0.5-0.5-0.8-0.80.1
JAS 99-0.8-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.5-0.1-1.30.00.0
ASO 99-0.9-0.6-0.2-0.60.60.1-1.0-0.80.0
SON 99-1.1-0.7-0.4-1.00.80.5-0.6-1.2-1.1
OND 99-1.2-0.6-0.7-0.9-0.4-0.5-0.9-1.50.0
NDJ 99-1.5-1.0-1.0-0.8-1.60.5-1.0-0.8-1.1
DJF 99-1.3-1.0-1.2-0.4-1.00.2-1.2-1.3-1.3
JFM 00-1.0-0.6-0.6-0.40.0-0.3-0.4-1.5-1.3
FMA 00-0.3-0.9-0.4-0.3-0.1-0.40.1-0.6-0.1
MAM 000.0-0.5-0.30.10.00.10.10.10.1
AMJ 00-0.10.1-0.1-0.10.0-0.10.10.10.1
MJJ 00-0.20.2-0.40.10.20.20.10.10.1
JJA 00-0.30.20.0-0.10.20.50.30.20.1
JAS 00-0.30.00.30.50.60.40.10.00.0
ASO 00 -0.3-0.2-0.6-0.20.40.40.30.0
SON 00 -0.2-0.3-0.30.10.20.60.40.1
OND 00 -0.40.1-0.10.70.60.10.10.0
NDJ 00-0.5-0.4-0.20.20.20.50.4
DJF 00-0.6-0.3-0.30.20.50.50.4
JFM 01-0.6-0.10.40.50.5-0.20.1
FMA 01-0.20.2-0.10.10.40.4
MAM 01 0.10.00.1-0.10.10.1
AMJ 01-0.4-0.20.00.20.10.1
MJJ 01 0.00.10.40.10.1
JJA 01 -0.10.50.40.40.1
JAS 01 0.30.30.20.00.0
ASO 010.20.70.70.0
SON 010.00.50.50.4
OND 010.40.30.50.0
NDJ 01 -0.20.80.9
DJF 01 0.60.40.6
JFM 02 0.30.10.4
FMA 02 0.50.4
MAM 02 0.10.1
AMJ 02 0.10.1
MJJ 02 0.1
JJA 02 0.1
JAS 02 0.0

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