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Climate Change and Its Potential Impacts on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Frequency

A Bibliography of Scholarly Research


This bibliography is designed to serve as a guide to the scientific and academic literature currently available on the topic of climate change ("global warming") and its potential impacts on tropical cyclone / hurricane intensity and frequency. An extensive keyword search of several database and electronic journal providers covering the years 1984 - 2007 resulted in the bibliography listed below. New items related to this topic will be added to this extensible resource as additional research and literature are published.

Please note that full-text links to the publisher's version of the included articles are only provided for those who have licensed access to these materials. Those who do not have access to the full-text documents and wish to use them for scholarly or research purposes should consult their local federal, public, or academic library to obtain a copy for personal use, subject to the copyright provisions delineated in Title 17 of the U.S. Code.


2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984

Click here to access an alphabetical listing of publications.

2008 Publications

Chan, J.C.L. (2008). Decadal variations of intense typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific. Proceedings of the Royal Society A - Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences, 464(2089), 249-272. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Loptien, U., Zolina, O., Gulev, S., Latif, M., & Soloviov, V. (2008). Cyclone life cycle characteristics over the Northern Hemisphere in coupled GCMs. Climate Dynamics, online only. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Wang, C., & Lee, S.K. (2008). Global warming and United States landfalling hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters, 35(1), L02708. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

2007 Publications

Bengtsson, L., Hodges, I., Esch, M, Keenlyside, N., Kornblueh, L., Luo, J.L., et al. (2007). How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate?Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 539-561. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Bengtsson, L. (2007). Tropical cyclones in a warmer climate.WMO Bulletin, 56(3), 196-203. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Bogen, K.T., Jones, E.D., & Fischer, L.E. (2007). Hurricane destructive power predictions based on historical storm and sea surface temperature data. Risk Analysis, 27(6), 1497-1517. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Camargo, S.J., Sobel, A.H., Barnston, A.G., & Emanuel, K.A. (2007). Tropical cyclone genesis potential index in climate models. Tellus Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 428-443. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Chan, J.C.L. (2007). Interannual variations of intense typhoon activity. Tellus Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 455-460. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

De Laat, A.T.J. (2007). Mixing politics and science in testing the hypothesis that greenhouse warming is causing a global increase in hurricane intensity. Comment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88(2), 251-252. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Donnelly, J.P., & Woodruff, J.D. (2007). Intense hurricane activity over the past 5,000 years controlled by El Nino and the West African monsoon. Nature, 447(7143), 465-468. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Elsner, J.B. (2007). Tempests in time. Nature, 447(7145), 647-649. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Elsner, J.B. (2007). Granger causality and Atlantic hurricanes. Tellus Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 476-485. FULL TEXT  (Available to some NOAA users.)

Frank, W.M., & Young, G.S. (2007). The interannual variability of tropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 135(10), 3587-3598. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Frappier, A., Knutson, T., Liu, K.B., & Emanuel, K. (2007). Perspective: coordinating paleoclimate research on tropical cyclones with hurricane-climate theory and modelling. Tellus Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 499-510.FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Gaertner, M.A., Jacob, D., Gil, V., Dominguez, M., Padorno, E., Sanchez, E., et al. (2007). Tropical cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea in climate change situations. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(14), L14711. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Hansen, J., Sato, M., Ruedy, R., Kharecha, P., Lacis, A., Miller, R., et al. (2007). Dangerous human-made interference with climate: a GISS model-E study. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7(9), 2287-2312.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Hasegawa, A., & Emori, S. (2007). Effect of air-sea coupling in the assessment of CO2-induced intensification of tropical cyclone activity. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(5), L05701. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Holland, G.J., &Webster, P.J. (2007). Heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London - A: Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences (unpublished; available online only). FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Kossin, J.P., Knapp, K.R., Vimont, D.J., Murnane, R.J., & Harper, B.A. (2007). A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(4), L04815. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Kossin, J.P., & Vimont, D.J. (2007). A more general framework for understanding Atlantic hurricane variability and trends. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,88(11), 1767-1781. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Landsea, C.W. (2007). Counting Atlantic tropical cyclones back to 1900. EOS: Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, 88, (n.p.). Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Latif, M., Keenlyside, N., & Bader, J. (2007). Tropical sea surface temperature, vertical wind shear, and hurricane development. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(1), L01710. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Li, Y.P., Wang, X.F., Yu, R.L., & Qin, Z.H. (2007). Analysis and prognosis of tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific on the background of global warming. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 26(1), 23-34. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Lonfat, M., Boissonnade, A., & Muir-Wood, R. (2007). Atlantic basin, U.S., and Caribbean landfall activity rates over the 2006-2010 period: an insurance industry perspective. Tellus Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 499-510. FULL TEXT  (Available to some NOAA users.)

Nott, J., Haig, J., Neil, H., & Gillieson, D. (2007). Greater frequency variability of landfalling tropical cyclones at centennial compared to seasonal and decadal scales. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 255(3-4), 367-372. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Nyberg, J., Malmgren, B.A., Winter, A., Jury, M.R., Kilbourne, K.H., & Quinn, T.M. (2007). Low hurricane activity in the 1970s and 1980s compared to the past 270 years. Nature, 447(7145), 698-701. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Saravanan, R., & Mahajan, S. (2007). Statistical analysis of environmental factors affecting the genesis of tropical Atlantic cyclones in climate model simulations. Conference Proceedings: 2007 AGU Joint Assembly. Acupulco, Mexico. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Singh, O.P. (2007). Long-term trends in the frequency of severe cyclones of Bay of Bengal: observations and simulations. Mausam, 58(1), 59-66. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Stowasser, M., Wang, Y., & Hamilton, K. (2007). Tropical cyclone changes in the western North Pacific in a global warming scenario. Journal of Climate, 20(11), 2378-2396. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Swanson, K.L. (2007). Impact of scaling behavior on tropical cyclone intensities. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(18), L18815. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Ting, M., Kushnir, Y., & Li, C. (2007). Forced and natural Atlantic multidecadal variabilities in observations and coupled ocean-atmosphere models. Conference Proceedings: 2007 AGU Joint Assembly. Acupulco, Mexico. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Trenberth, K.E. (2007). Warmer oceans, stronger hurricanes. Scientific American, 297(1), 44-51. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Vecchi, G.A., & Soden, B.J. (2007). Effect of remote sea surface temperature change on potential tropical cyclone intensity. Nature, 450(7172), 1066-1070. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Vecchi, G.A., & Soden, B.J. (2007). Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model projections of global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(8), L08702. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Vimont, D.J., & Kossin, J.P. (2007). The Atlantic meridional mode and hurricane activity. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(7), L07709. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Vitart, F., & Doblas-Reyes, F. (2007). Impact of greenhouse gas concentrations on tropical storms in coupled seasonal forecasts. Tellus Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 59(4), 417-427. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Wang, B., & Zhou, X. (2007). Climate variation and prediction of rapid intensification in tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, in press. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Wang, C. (2007). Variability of the Caribbean low-level jet and its relations to climate. Climate Dynamics, 29(4), 411-422. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Wang, C., & Lee, S.K. (2007). Atlantic warm pool, Caribbean low-level jet, and their potential impact on Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(1), L02703. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Wang, C., Lee, S.K., & Enfield, D.B. (2007). Impact of the Atlantic warm pool on the summer climate of the western hemisphere. Journal of Climate, in press.

2006 Publications

Anthes, R.A., Corell, R.W., Holland, G., Hurrell, J.W., MacCracken, M.C., & Trenberth, K.E. (2006). Hurricanes and global warming: potential linkages and consequences. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87(5), 623-628. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Bell, G.D., & Chelliah, M. (2006). Leading tropical modes associated with interannual and multidecadal fluctuations in north Atlantic hurricane activity. Journal of Climate, 19(4), 590-612. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Chan, J.C.L. (2006). Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Comment. Science, 311(5768), 1713b. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Chauvin, F., Royer, J.F., & Deque, M. (2006). Response of hurricane-type vortices to global warming as simulated by ARPEGE-Climat at high resolution. Climate Dynamics, 27(4), 377-399. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Curry, J.A., Webster, P.J., & Holland, G.J. (2006). Mixing politics and science in testing the hypothesis that greenhouse warming is causing a global increase in hurricane intensity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87(8), 1025-1037. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Diaz, J.H. (2006). Global climate changes, natural disasters, and travel health risks. Journal of Travel Medicine, 13(6), 361-372. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Elsner, J.B., Tsonis, A.A., & Jagger, T.H. (2006). High-frequency variability in hurricane power dissipation and its relationship to global temperature. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87(6), 763-768. FULL TEXT  (Available to some NOAA users.)

Elsner, J.B. (2006). Evidence in support of the climate change - Atlantic hurricane hypothesis. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(16), L16705. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Emanuel, K. (2006). Climate and tropical cyclone activity: a new model downscaling approach. Journal of Climate, 19(19), 4797-4802. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Enfield, D.B., & Cid-Serrano, L. (2006). Projecting the risk of future climate shifts. International Journal of Climatology , 26(7), 885-895. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Evan, A.T., Dunion, J., Foley, J.A., Heidinger, A.K., & Velden, C.S. (2006). New evidence for a relationship between Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and African dust outbreaks. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L026408. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Fasullo, J. (2006). Assessing tropical cyclone trends in the context of potential sampling biases. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L027852. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Hoyos, C.D., Agudelo, P.A., Webster, J.P., & Curry, J.A. (2006). Deconvolution of the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity. Science, 312(5770), 94-97. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Kerr, R.A. (2006). Global warming may be homing in on Atlantic hurricanes. Science, 314(5801), 910-911.
FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Klotzbach, P.J. (2006). Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the last twenty years (1986-2005). Geophysical Research Letters, 33(10), L10805. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Landsea, C.W., Harper, B.A., Hoarau, K., & Knaff, J.A. (2006). Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones? Science, 313(5786), 452-454. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Mann, M.E., & Emanuel, K.A. (2006). Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. EOS: Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, 87(24), 233. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Michaels, P.J., Knappenberger, P.C., & Davis, R.E. (2006). Sea surface temperatures and tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L025757. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Mitchell, J.F.B., Lowe, J., Wood, R.A., & Vellinga, M. (2006). Extreme events due to human-induced climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A - Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences 364(1845), 2117-2133. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Nolan, D.S., Rappin, E.D., & Emanuel, K.A. (2006). Could random convection form hurricanes in a warmer world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87(5), 559-560. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

O'Connor, L., Gunzelman, M., Samenow, J., & Fortune, M. (2006). Diminishing any link between climate change and seasonal hurricane activity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87(4), 418-419. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Oouchi, K., Yoshimura, J., Yoshimura, H., Mizuta, R., Kusunoki, S., & Noda, A. (2006). Tropical cyclone climatology in a global-warming climate as simulated in a 20 km-mesh global atmospheric model: frequency and wind intensity analyses. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 84(2), 259-276.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Pielke, R., Landsea, C., Mayfield, M., Laver, J., & Pasch, R. (2006). Hurricanes and global warming: potential linkages and consequences. Reply. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87(5), 628-631. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Santer, B.D., Wigley, T.M.L., Gleckler, P.J., Bonfils, C., Wehner, M.F., Achuta Rao, K., et al. (2006). Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103(38), 13905-13910. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Sriver, R., & Huber, M. (2006). Low frequency variability in globally integrated tropical cyclone power dissipation. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L026167. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Tian, R.X., & Weng, H.X. (2006). Influence of climatic warming in the southern and northern hemisphere on the tropical cyclone over the western North Pacific Ocean. Journal of Zhejiang University Science, 7(11), 1923-1927. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Trenberth, K.E., & Shea, D.J. (2006). Atlantic hurricanes and natural variability in 2005. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(12), L12704.
FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

van Aalst, M.K. (2006). The impacts of climate change on the risk of natural disasters. Disasters, 30(1), 5-18.
Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Wang, C., Enfield, D.B., Lee, S.K., & Landsea, C.W. (2006). Influences of the Atlantic warm pool on western hemisphere summer rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. Journal of Climate, 19(12), 3011-3028.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Yoshimura, J., Sugi, M., & Noda, A. (2006). Influence of greenhouse warming on tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 84(2), 405-428. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Zhang, R., & Delworth, T.L. (2006). Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(17), L17712. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

2005 Publications

Emanuel, K. (2005). Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436(7051), 686-688.
ABSTRACT
 (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Emanuel, K. (2005). Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Reply. Nature, 438(7071), E13. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Knutson, T.R., & Tuleya, R.E. (2005). Comments on impacts of CO2-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective scheme. Reply. Journal of Climate, 18(23), 5183-5187. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Landsea, C.W. (2005). Hurricanes and global warming. Nature, 438(7071), E11-E13. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Larson, J., Zhou, Y., & Higgins, R.W. (2005). Characteristics of landfalling tropical cyclones in the United States and Mexico: climatology and interannual variability. Journal of Climate, 18(8), 1247-1262.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

McDonald, R.E., Bleaken, D.G., Cresswell, D.R., Pope, V.D., & Senior, C.A. (2005). Tropical storms: representation and diagnosis in climate models and the impacts of climate change. Climate Dynamics, 25(1) 19-36. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Michaels, P.J., Knappenberger, P.C., & Landsea, C. (2005). Comments on impacts of CO2-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective scheme. Journal of Climate, 18(23), 5179-5182. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Pezza, A.B., & Simmonds, I. (2005). The first South Atlantic hurricane: unprecedented blocking, low shear, and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 32(15), L15712. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Pielke, R.A., Landsea, C., Mayfield, M., Laver, J., & Pasch, R. (2005). Hurricanes and global warming. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86(11), 1571-1575. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Schiermeier, Q. (2005). Claims of global-warming link to hurricanes hit a nerve. Nature, 435(7045), 1008-1009.
Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Schiermeier, Q. (2005). Hurricane link to climate change is hazy. Nature, 437(7058), 461-461. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Trenberth, K. (2005). Uncertainty in hurricanes and global warming. Science, 308(5729), 1753-1754.
FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Walsh, K., McGregor, J.L., & Nguyen, K. (2005). Climate change, tropical cyclones, and ENSO. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86(3), 327-328. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Webster, P.J., Holland, G.J., Curry, J.A., & Chang, H.R. (2005). Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 309(5742), 1844-1846. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Xie, L., Yan, T., Pietrafesa, L.J., Morrison, J.M., & Karl, T. (2005). Climatology and interannual variability of North Atlantic hurricane tracks. Journal of Climate, 18(24), 5370-5381. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

2004 Publications

Chan, J.C.L., & Liu, K.S. (2004). Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective. Journal of Climate, 17(23), 4590-4602. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Free, M., Bister, M., & Emanuel, K. (2004). Potential intensity of tropical cyclones: comparison of results from radiosonde and reanalysis data. Journal of Climate, 17(8), 1722-1727. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Knutson, T.R., & Tuleya, R.E. (2004). Impact of CO2-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective parameterization. Journal of Climate, 17(18), 3477-3495. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Vega, A.J., & Matyas, C.J. (2004). North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensities and macro-scale temperature variations. Pennsylvania Geographer, 42(1), 142-178. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Walsh, K. (2004). Tropical cyclones and climate change: unresolved issues. Climate Research, 27(1), 77-83. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Walsh, K.J.E., Nguyen, K.C., & McGregor, J.L. (2004). Fine-resolution regional climate model simulations of the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones near Australia. Climate Dynamics, 22(1), 47-56.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Wu, L.G., & Wang, B. (2004). Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks. Journal of Climate, 17(8), 1686-1698.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Xu, M., Ying, M., & Yang, Q. (2004). Climate variability of tropical cyclone activities in the western North Pacific Ocean. Conference Proceedings: 26th AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. Miami, FL: 244-245. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

2003 Publications

Choi, O., Fisher, A. (2003). The impacts of socioeconomic development and climate change on severe weather catastrophe losses: Mid-Atlantic Region (MAR) and the U.S. Climatic Change, 58(1-2), 149-170. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Molinari, R., & Mestas-Nunez, A. (2003). North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters, 30(10), L016462. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Paerl, H.W., Steppe, T.F., Buchan, K.C., & Potts, M. (2003). Hypersaline cyanobacterial mats as indicators of elevated tropical hurricane activity and associated climate change. Ambio, 32(2), 87-90. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Raghavan, S., & Rajesh, S. (2003). Trends in tropical cyclone impact: a study in Andhra Pradesh, India. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Soceity, 84(5), 635-644. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

2002 Publications

Scavia, D., Field, J.C., Boesch, D.F., Buddemeier, R.W., Burkett, V., Cayan, D.R., et al. (2002). Climate change impacts on U.S. coastal and marine ecosystems. Estuaries, 25(2), 149-164. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Sugi, M., Noda, A., & Sato, N. (2002). Influence of the global warming on tropical cyclone climatology: an experiment with the JMA global model. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 80(2), 249-272. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Tsutsui, J. (2002). Implications of anthropogenic climate change for tropical cyclone activity: a case study with the NCAR CCM2. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 80(1), 45-65.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

2001 Publications

Changnon, S.A., Changnon, J.M., & Hewings, G.D. (2001). Losses caused by weather and climate extremes: a national index for the United States. Physical Geography, 22(1), 1-27. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Goldenberg, S.B., Landsea, C.W., Mestas-Nunez, A.M., & Gray, W.M. (2001). The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: causes and implications. Science, 293(5529), 474-479. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Greenough, G., McGeehin, M., Bernard, S.M., Trtanj, J., Riad, J., & Engelberg, D. (2001). The potential impacts of climate variability and change on health impacts of extreme weather events in the United States. Environmental Health Perspectives, 109, 191-198.
ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Knutson, T. R., Tuleya, R.E., Shen, W.X., & Ginis, I. (2001). Impact of CO2-induced warming on hurricane intensities as simulated in a hurricane model with ocean coupling. Journal of Climate, 14(11), 2458-2468. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Lal, M. (2001). Tropical cyclones in a warmer world. Current Science, 80(9), 1103-1104. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

McCabe, G.J., Clark, M.P., & Serreze, M.C. (2001). Trends in northern hemisphere surface cyclone frequency and intensity. Journal of Climate, 14(12), 2763-2768. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Nguyen, K.C., & Walsh, K.J.E. (2001). Interannual, decadal, and transient greenhouse simulation of tropical cyclone-like vortices in a regional climate model of the South Pacific. Journal of Climate, 14(13), 3043-3054. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Vitart, F., & Anderson, J.L. (2001). Sensitivity of Atlantic tropical storm frequency to ENSO and interdecadal variability of SSTs in an ensemble of AGCM integrations. Journal of Climate, 14(4), 533-545.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

2000 Publications

Easterling, D.R., Meehl, G.A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S.A., Karl, T.R., & Mearns, L.O. (2000). Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science, 289(5487), 2068-2074. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Lugo, A.E. (2000). Effects and outcomes of Caribbean hurricanes in a climate change scenario. Science of the Total Environment, 262(3): 243-251. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Meehl, G.A., Zwiers, F., Evans, J., Knutson, T., Mearns, L., & Whetton, P. (2000). Trends in extreme weather and climate events: issues related to modeling extremes in projections of future climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81(3), 427-436.
FULL TEXT  (Available to some NOAA users.)

Shen, W.X., Tuleya, R.E., & Ginis, I. (2000). A sensitivity study of the thermodynamic environment on GFDL model hurricane intensity: implications for global warming. Journal of Climate, 13(1), 109-121.
FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Walsh, K.J.E., & Katzfey, J.J. (2000). The impact of climate change on the poleward movement of tropical cyclone-like vortices in a regional climate model. Journal of Climate, 13(6), 1116-1132. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Walsh, K.J.E., & Ryan, B.F. (2000). Tropical cyclone intensity increase near Australia as a result of climate change. Journal of Climate, 13(16), 3029-3036. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Wohl, E.E., Pulwarty, R.S., & Zhang, J.Y. (2000). Assessing climate impacts. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 97(21), 11141-11142. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

1999 Publications

Changnon, S.A. (1999). Factors affecting temporal fluctuations in damaging storm activity in the United States based on insurance loss data. Meteorological Applications, 6(1), 1-10. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Druyan, L.M., Lonergan, P., & Eichler, T. (1999). A GCM investigation of global warming impacts relevant to tropical cyclone genesis. International Journal of Climatology, 19(6), 607-617. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Fu, C.B., Diaz, H.F., Dong, D.F., & Fletcher, J.O. (1999). Changes in atmospheric circulation over northern hemisphere oceans associated with the rapid warming of the 1920s. International Journal of Climatology, 19(6), 581-606. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Knutson, T.R., & Tuleya, R.E. (1999). Increased hurricane intensities with CO2-induced warming as simulated using the GFDL hurricane prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 15(7), 503-519. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Landsea, C.W., Pielke, R.A., Mestas-Nunez, A., & Knaff, J.A. (1999). Atlantic basin hurricanes: indices of climatic changes. Climatic Change, 42(1), 89-129. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Plummer, N., Salinger, M.J., Nicholls, N., Suppiah, R., Hennessy, K.J., Leighton, R.M., et al. (1999). Changes in climate extremes over the Australian region and New Zealand during the twentieth century. Climatic Change, 42(1), 183-202. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

1998 Publications

Henderson-Sellers, A., Zhang, H., Berz, G., Emanuel, K., Gray, W., Landsea, C., et al. (1998). Tropical cyclones and global climate change: a post-IPCC assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79(1), 19-38. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Hulme, M., & Viner, D. (1998). A climate change scenario for the tropics. Climatic Change, 39(2-3), 145-176. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Knutson, T.R., Tuleya, R.E., & Kurihara, Y. (1998). Simulated increase of hurricane intensities in a CO2-warmed climate. Science, 279(5353), 1018-1020. FULL TEXT (Available to NOAA-AOML users.)

Royer, J.F., Chauvin, F., Timbal, B., Araspin, P., & Grimal, D. (1998). A GCM study of the impact of greenhouse gas increase on the frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones. Climatic Change, 38(3), 307-343. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Schubert, M., Perlwitz, J., Blender, R., Fraedrich, K., & Lunkeit, F. (1998). North Atlantic cyclones in CO2 induced warm climate simulations: frequency, intensity, and tracks. Climate Dynamics, 14(11), 827-838. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Walsh, K., & Pittock, A.B. (1998). Potential changes in tropical storms, hurricanes, and extreme rainfall events as a result of climate change. Climatic Change, 39(2-3), 199-213. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

1997 Publications

Bengtsson, L., Botzet, M., & Esch, M. (1997). Will greenhouse gas-induced warming over the next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes? Reply. Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 49(5), 624-625. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Chen, X., & Chao, S. (1997). The jump of climate change typhoon activities. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 13(2), 97-104. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Landsea, C.W. (1997). Will greenhouse gas-induced warming over the next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes? Comment. Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 49(5), 622-623. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Michener, W.K., Blood, E.R., Bildstein, K.L., Brinson, M.M., & Gardner, L.R. (1997). Climate change, hurricanes and tropical storms, and rising sea level in coastal wetlands. Ecological Applications, 7(3), 770-801. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

1996 Publications

Ali, A. (1996). Vulnerability of Bangladesh to climate change and sea level rise through tropical cyclones and storm surges. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, 92(1-2), 171-179. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Amadore, L., Bolhofer, W.C., Cruz, R.V., Feir, R.B., Freysinger, C.A., Guill, S., et al. (1996). Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in Asia and the Pacific: workshop summary. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, 92(1-2), 1-12. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Bengtsson, L., Botzet, M., & Esch, M. (1996). Will greenhouse gas-induced warming over the next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes? Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 48(1), 57-73. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Govinda Rao, P., Kelly, P.M., & Hulme, M. (1996). Recent climatic change, greenhouse gas emissions, and future climate: the implications for India. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 55(1-4), 41-64. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Pittock, A.B., Walsh, K., & McInnes, K. (1996). Tropical cyclones and coastal inundation under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, 92(1-2), 159-169. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Yamamoto, R. (1996). Global warming and severe weather activity. Journal of Marine Science and Technology, 1(2), 65-74. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

1995 Publications

Broccoli, A.J., Manabe, S., Mitchell, J.F.B., & Bengtsson, L. (1995). Global climate change and tropical cyclones. Comment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76(11), 2243-2245. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Emanuel, K.A. (1995). Global climate change and tropical cyclones. Comment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76(11), 2241-2243. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Lighthill, J. (1995). Global climate change and tropical cyclones. Reply. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76(3), 380. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Nicholls, N. (1995). Long-term climate monitoring and extreme events. Climatic Change, 31(2-4), 231-245. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Philander, S.G. (1995). Global climate change and tropical cyclones. Comment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76(3), 380. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1994 Publications

Gutowski, W.J., McMahon, G.F., Schuluchter, S.S., & Kirshen, P.H. (1994). Effects of global warming on hurricane-induced flooding. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management,120(2), 176-185. ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

Lighthill, J., Holland, G., Gray, W., Landsea, C., Craig, G., Evans, J., et al. (1994). Global climate change and tropical cyclones. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 75(11), 2147-2157. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1993 Publications

Evans, J.L. (1993). Sensitivity of tropical cyclone intensity to sea surface temperature. Journal of Climate, 6(6), 1133-1140. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

Raper, S.C.B. (1993). Observational data on the relationships between climatic change and the frequency and magnitude of severe tropical storms. In R.A. Warrick, E.M. Barrow, & T.M.L. Wigley (Eds.), Climate and sea level change: observations, projections, and implications (192-212). New York: Cambridge University Press. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Smithson, P. (1993). Tropical cyclones and their changing impact. Geography, 78(2), 170-174. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1992 Publications

Broccoli, A.J., & Manabe, S. (1992). Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate? Reply. Geophysical Research Letters, 19(14), 1525-1526. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Evans, J.L. (1992). Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate? Comment. Geophysical Research Letters, 19(14), 1523-1524. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

O'Brien, S.T., Hayden, B.P., & Shugart, H.H. (1992). Global climatic change, hurricanes, and a tropical forest. Climatic Change, 22(3), 175-190. FULL TEXT (Available to some NOAA users.)

1991 Publications

Gutowski, W.J., McMahon, G.F., Kirshen, P., & Schuluchter, S. (1991). Projecting climate change to small basins: potential impact of global warming on hurricane-induced flooding in south Florida. Conference Proceedings: Water Resources Planning and Management and Urban Water Resources. New Orleans, LA: 705-713. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Idso, S.B., Balling, R.C., & Cerveny, R.S. (1991). Carbon dioxide and hurricanes: implications of northern hemispheric warming for Atlantic Caribbean storms. Reply. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 47(1), 85-86. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1990 Publications

Broccoli, A.J., & Manabe, S. (1990). Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate? Geophysical Research Letters, 17(11), 1917-1920. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1989 Publications

Blong, R. (1989). Disasters and opportunities: hazards in the greenhouse era. Conference Proceedings: Planning for the Greenhouse. North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia: 18-38. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1988 Publications

Holland, G.J., McBride, J.L, & Nicholls, N. (1988). Australian region tropical cyclones and the green house effect. Conference Proceedings: Planning for the Greenhouse. Victoria, Queensland, Australia: 438-455. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

Love, G. (1988). Cyclone storm surges: post-greenhouse. Conference Proceedings: Planning for the Greenhouse. Victoria, Queensland, Australia: 202-215. Available via interlibrary loan. Please consult your local librarian.

1987 Publications

Emanuel, K.A. (1987). The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate. Nature, 326(6112), 483-485.
ABSTRACT (Full text viewing requires a license. Please consult a local librarian to obtain a copy via interlibrary loan.)

1986 Publications

1985 Publications

1984 Publications

Questions? Comments? Suggestions? Please contact the library.


Databases used: ISI Web of Knowledge; Elsevier Scopus; Cambridge Scientific Abstracts: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts, Meteorological and Geophysical Abstracts, Water Resources Abstracts, Oceanic Abstracts, Conference Papers Index, BioOne, Human Population and Natural Resource Management; JSTOR.


Electronic journal providers used: Springerlink, Elsevier Science Direct, Blackwell-Synergy, EBSCO, BioOne.


Keywords included in searches: climate change, climate variability, global warming, greenhouse effect, carbon, tropical cyclone, tropical cyclogenesis, hurricane, anthropogenic, intensity, frequency, typhoon, greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide, emission, CO2. Extensive stemming was employed to include variant and plural forms of keywords employed in the bibliographic searches.



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Photos courtesy of NOAA Photo Library
Bibliography created and compiled by Christopher Kinner, Librarian
Additional research and contributions by Gloria Aversano, Librarian
Linda Pikula, Regional Librarian, NOAA Miami Regional Library
Page last updated on: January 28, 2008